According to the exit polls and situation analysis conducted by NHK in the Upper House election, which was voted on the 10th, both the LDP and the Komei Party will win 69 pre-election seats, exceeding 63 seats, which is the majority of the re-election seats. Is a certain situation.


It is also certain that the four parties, the Liberal Democratic Party, the Nippon Ishin no Kai, and the Democratic Party for the People, who are willing to amend the Constitution, will have more than 82 seats, which secures two-thirds of the total House of Councilors required to propose the amendment.


Meanwhile, the Constitutional Democratic Party is expected to reduce its seats even before the election.

NHK conducted an exit poll of about 200,000 voters who finished voting at about 1,700 polling stations nationwide on the 10th of the voting day to explore the voting behavior and political awareness of voters, accounting for 65%. , I got answers from more than 130,000 people.



As a result of exit polls and situation analysis, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Liberal Democratic Party are expected to acquire 83 seats from 69 seats in total, exceeding 63 seats, which is the majority of the re-election seats, and it is certain that they will acquire 69 seats before the election. It is a situation.



Of these, the Liberal Democratic Party is expected to acquire 69 seats from 59 seats, and it is possible that it will reach 63 seats, which is the majority of the re-elected seats alone.



▼ The Constitutional Democratic Party is expected to have 13 to 20 seats, and it is certain that the number of seats will be reduced even before the election.



▼ Komeito is expected to win 14 to 14 seats.



▼ The Nippon Ishin no Kai is expected to win 10 to 15 seats, which may double from before the election.



▼ The Democratic Party for the People's Democratic Party is expected to have 2 to 5 seats, and it is certain that it will be lower than before the election.



▼ The Communist Party is expected to win 6 to 6 seats.



▼ Reiwa Shinsengumi is expected to win 1 to 3 seats.



▼ The Social Democratic Party may win one seat.



▼ The NHK Party may win one seat.



▼ In addition, independent candidates and other political groups recommended by the opposition are expected to acquire 7 seats from 5 seats, of which the Assistant Administrator is expected to acquire 2 seats from 1 seat.



On the other hand, the four parties, the Liberal Democratic Party, the Nippon Ishin no Kai, and the Democratic Party for the People, who are willing to amend the Constitution, are expected to acquire 102 seats from 86 seats, and secure two-thirds of the entire House of Councilors necessary for proposing the amendment. It is certain that it will exceed 82 seats.

Electoral district

In a constituency with a capacity of 75, ▼ LDP has 42 to 47 seats, ▼ Constitutional Democratic Party has 7 to 12 seats, ▼ Komei Party has 5 to 7 seats, ▼ Japan Restoration Society has 4 to 7 seats, ▼ National Democratic Party Is expected to win up to 2 seats, and the Communist Party is expected to win 1 to 2 seats.



▼ Reiwa Shinsengumi may win one seat.



▼ Social Democratic Party and ▼ NHK Party are in a difficult situation to get seats in the constituency.



▼ Independent candidates recommended by the opposition are expected to win 5 seats from 4 seats.



◇ At the First no Kai, it is difficult to get a seat.

Proportional representation

On the other hand, in the proportional representative with a capacity of 50, ▼ LDP has 17 to 22 seats, ▼ Constitutional Democratic Party has 6 to 8 seats, ▼ Komei Party has 5 to 7 seats, ▼ Japan Restoration Society has 6 to 8 seats, ▼ The National Democratic Party is expected to win 2 to 3 seats, the Communist Party is expected to win 2 to 4 seats, and the Reiwa Shinsengumi is expected to win 1 to 2 seats.



The Social Democratic Party and the NHK Party may each win one seat.



▼ The Assistant Administrator is expected to win one to two seats.