For the eighth month in a row, the Green Party ends up below four percent in SVT Novus.

Admittedly within the margin of error to the parliamentary barrier, but the headwind in public opinion does not seem to want to give in.

There are several explanations, but there should be no doubt that the departure from the government qualifies for the top list of major tactical mistakes.

The upsurge the party hoped for when they could stand free to pursue a more offensive environmental and climate policy outside the government has failed.

Instead, the MP has lost just over one percentage point since November.

The precarious situation indicates that the Greens, just like 2018, will need support votes from the V and S to survive in the Riksdag.

Therefore, expect that the message "Without us, there will be no S-led government" will be heard more and more often from the representatives of the Green Party as the election approaches.

And with 3.5 percent, the party is, after all, a bit above the limit where voters usually consider a possible support vote as a throwaway.

However, the spokespersons cannot count on any further support from the Social Democrats.

Pointing out the MP as an intended government partner is difficult for a party that does not want to scare more male workers' voters over to the right.

The Center Party can put sticks in the wheel

But it is not only the Green Party that can put a stop to Magdalena Andersson's (S) opportunities to continue as Prime Minister.

The Center Party also has problems and is now just over three percentage points below its election result by 5.4 percent.

One explanation is that the female metropolitan voters who were attracted by Annie Lööf's (C) stubborn SD opposition are a mobile group of voters who right now seem to prefer Magdalena Andersson (S).

In addition, the party has not succeeded in gaining an impact on its political priorities after the January collaboration.

They have low support on all issues and have lost a lot in the issue that made them the "green voice of the alliance".

Today, C is in joint fourth place along with SD in terms of which party voters think has the best policy for the environment and climate, according to Novus.

Pehrson has doubled support for L

The more fun is the voter barometer for the Center Party's old rivals in the Liberals.

Since Johan Pehrson (L) took over the helm, the long-established party has doubled its voter support.

But to be safe above the parliamentary barrier, they need to increase a little more.

In any case, it is clear that the party has got its much-needed fresh start, which has led to calm in the badly wounded party.

That the Liberals' rise is at the expense of the Moderates, Ulf Kristersson (M) can probably live with.

At least as long as his side has an advantage in the struggle for government power.

If this survey were an election result, Kristersson's government alternative would get 179 seats against Andersson's 170. But if the Green Party is included in the equation, it differs by only a narrow percentage point and then in Andersson's advantage.

A voter barometer is just a snapshot of the state of public opinion and much can happen in the more than 80 days remaining until the election.

But we seem to be moving towards a thrilling election campaign and probably also a charged government formation - regardless of which of the prime ministerial candidates is finally given the opportunity to bid for government.