The two scenarios are not presented as forecasts but as possible processes that can act as a basis for planning in health care, according to the Swedish Public Health Agency.
In both cases, the spread of covid-19 may increase towards the end of the summer and continue to rise during September.
- You often see a peak in other respiratory infections just when school starts and you are seen again.
So it is likely that covid behaves in a similar way because it has the same spread of infection, says Sara Byfors, head of department at the Swedish Public Health Agency.
Lower peak than last winter
Since February 9, most of the restrictions have been lifted and we spend more time together than before the pandemic.
Although the spread of infection may increase in August, it is unlikely that it will end up at the same levels as last winter, according to Sara Byfors.
This is due to the fact that many have been ill and vaccinated several times.
- So we do not think that there will be as extensive spread of infection, but it also depends on whether it is these variants now that are spread or if new variants come in.