The PSOE makes the last call to vote to avoid disaster and the PP, so as not to depend on Vox

• 19J All the information on the Andalusian elections

During the last four decades, popular sociology had more or less established the theory that Andalusia is a mostly left-wing territory in which the right only wins when there is a great deal of abstention.

Hence, the

has entrusted its entire campaign to the reactivation of the 400,000 voters who stayed at home in December 2018 and caused the first political upheaval in the history of autonomy.

The PSOE has focused its strategy on a single slogan: "If we vote, we win."

But, if what is pointed out in most of the polls is true, it is likely that many of those socialist voters who abstained in the last Andalusian elections will decide to go and vote but do so for the

.

And, therefore, mobilization is no longer necessarily a factor in favor of a victory for the left.

The PP, which seemed to have opted for a low-profile campaign so as not to ruin its promising forecasts, has also realized that overconfidence and the heat wave could end up sabotaging its victory.

The "desire for the beach", says the PP candidate, can ruin the sufficient majority that he needs to govern without ties (Vox), ignoring that it was Juanma Moreno himself who decided to advance the elections and set them

, a few hours before the beginning of summer and in the middle of the Corpus Christi bridge (at least in Seville and Granada).

The PSOE was clear from before the formal start of the electoral campaign that it would have to put all the meat on the grill, and has mobilized former presidents, ministers and regional barons to come to the aid of Juan Espadas.

In the PP, with the tailwind of the polls inflating its sails, the electoral tension has gone from less to more, precisely because of the risk that its electorate is overconfident and thinks that the party has won.

And because the real challenge for the PP, where the credibility of its speech is at stake, is to achieve enough support to dispense with Vox in the Andalusian government.

Moreno has never ruled out a pact with the party of Santiago Abascal and Macarena Olona, ​​but his position is increasingly resistant to agreements that corner the PP along with those who want to return powers to the State and are deniers of climate change or contrary to the policies of equality.

In parallel, the national leadership of Vox has taken the reins of the Andalusian campaign, openly protecting Macarena Olona after an unfortunate start amid complaints about her fraudulent registration and overreacted folklore.

Olona has not gotten involved forcefully in the campaign until, in the debate held on

last Monday, he warned Moreno that he would not even count on his abstention if he did not agree to negotiate a coalition government.

This Friday the PP spoke about "blackmail".

The left, for its part, have also warned him not to count on their complicity to stop the extreme right.

The only possible ally is still Ciudadanos, although the polls contemplate the possibility that Juan Marín could stay out of Parliament.

And, between threats and discards, the climate of the last days has been rising in temperature.

In the evening of the closing, with the thermometers overheated, Moreno, Espadas and Olona made the last appeals to their voters in three enclaves located just a couple of kilometers away along the Guadalquivir.

Vox on the shore of Triana and the PP on that of Seville, perhaps condemned to meet again, but with the abyss of the dark waters of the river in between.

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