China News Service, June 7th, according to the WeChat public account of the Ministry of Emergency Management, recently, the Office of the National Disaster Reduction Committee and the Ministry of Emergency Management jointly held a meeting with the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the China Meteorological Administration, the National Forestry and Grassland Administration and other departments. The Chamber of Commerce will conduct rolling updates on the national natural disaster risk situation in summer, and analyze and judge the national natural disaster risk situation in June.
According to the research and judgment results, in June, the risk of geological disasters in many places in the south is relatively high, and the drought in some areas in the north may further develop.
Summer (June-August) Disaster Risk Situation
First, the floods, winds, and hail disasters in the northern region may be more severe.
The main rainy areas are located in the north, and the southern southwest, southern China, and southern Tibet are the secondary rainy areas. The middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River, Haihe, Liaohe, and Huaihe basins may experience severe flood conditions.
Second, the impact of typhoons may be heavier.
From June to August, the number of typhoons generated is 7-10, which is less than normal, and the number of landfalls is 4-5, which is close to normal.
The typhoon activity path is mainly in the northwest, and there is a high possibility of a typhoon landing in the north.
Third, the risk of drought in Northwest China, South Central China, and North South China is relatively high.
In midsummer, there is less precipitation in southeastern China, southern central China, northern southern China, eastern southwestern China, Xinjiang, and western northwestern China, and periodic meteorological droughts may occur.
Periods of high temperature and heat waves may occur in East China, Central China, and Northwest China.
Fourth, geological disasters may occur frequently in the southern and northwestern regions.
The main flood season is a period of high occurrence of geological disasters, and the risk of geological disasters is high in parts of the south and northwest. Among them, western Zhejiang, southeastern Anhui, northeastern Jiangxi, western Hubei, central Hunan, northeastern and southern Sichuan, eastern Chongqing, and northwestern Yunnan. The risk of geological disasters is high in local areas such as southern Shaanxi and southern Gansu.
Fifth, strong convective weather occurs frequently in the Greater Khingan Mountains, and attention should be paid to the prevention of lightning strikes and fires; central China, northern South China, eastern Southwest China, and northwest China have less precipitation and higher temperatures, so attention should be paid to periods of high fire risk.
Disaster Risk Situation in June
In June, southern China will gradually enter the dragon boat water concentration period. There may be typhoons landing in coastal areas, the risk of geological disasters in many places in the south is relatively high, the forest fire risk level in Northeast China and North China is relatively high, and the drought situation in some areas in the north may further develop.
Northeast China, North China, East China, and Central China have a high risk of flood, wind, and hail disasters.
The precipitation in southern Liaoning, Beijing, Tianjin, most of Hebei, most of Shanxi, most of Shaanxi, Shandong, Henan, northern Hubei, northern Anhui, northern and central Jiangsu, and southern Tibet was 2-50% higher.
Some rivers in the Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake water systems in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, Liujiang River and Guijiang River, a tributary of the Xijiang River in the Pearl River Basin, may experience excessive floods, and the risk of snowmelt flood disasters in western and southeastern Tibet and northern Xinjiang is increased.
With the rise in temperature and abundant water vapor, strong convective weather such as short-term heavy precipitation, strong winds, thunderstorms, and hail will further increase in various places, and the extremes will increase, and wind and hail disasters will continue to be high.
A typhoon may make landfall in the coastal areas of South China.
It is expected that 1-2 typhoons will be generated in June, and 1 landfall may significantly affect my country.
There may be a catastrophic typhoon storm surge process along the coast of my country, and there may be 1-2 catastrophic wave processes above 4 meters.
The risk of geological disasters in many places in the south is relatively high.
Local areas such as western Zhejiang, southeastern Anhui, northeastern Jiangxi, central Hunan, southern Sichuan, and northwestern Yunnan are at higher risk of geological disasters.
Northeast, North China and other places have higher levels of forest fire danger.
The forest fire danger levels in northern Beijing, northern Hebei, eastern Inner Mongolia, western Liaoning, central and eastern Jilin, northern Heilongjiang, northern Jiangsu, central and eastern Shandong, and northern Xinjiang are relatively high.
Among them, the forest fire danger level in some areas in northeastern Inner Mongolia, northwestern Heilongjiang, and northeastern Shandong is highly dangerous.
Drought conditions may develop further in parts of the north.
Since April, drought conditions in northeastern China, central and northern China, central and eastern Northwest China, and northern North China have continued or developed. It is expected that in June, the above-mentioned areas will have less precipitation, higher temperatures, and more high-temperature days. There will be periodic high-temperature heat waves, and drought may occur. Further development.