When the government decided to submit a NATO application in broad political agreement, the path towards NATO membership was pointed out as more or less obvious.

That did not happen.

Turkey says no to Swedish and Finnish NATO membership and extensive diplomatic efforts are being made to get Turkey to change.

But the tours of the Riksdag in recent days have hardly increased the Swedish opportunities to get Turkey's support for a NATO entry.

Rather the opposite.

Ger Erdogan argues

When the Social Democrats now confirm the settlement with the political savage Amineh Kakabaveh, it gives President Erdogan further arguments to put sticks in the wheel for a Swedish entry into NATO.

The Prime Minister's choice to keep Morgan Johansson as Minister of Justice and instead seek support from Kakabaveh may thus further complicate Sweden's opportunities to become full members of NATO.

But the opposition on the right also has a responsibility for the situation that has arisen.

Through the mistrust process, Amineh Kakabaveh was again given the leading role in Swedish politics, also in a sensitive security policy phase, where what has happened may jeopardize Sweden's NATO application.

The distrust from the right towards Morgan Johansson (S) certainly has nothing to do with the NATO issue but is about criticism of how he fulfills his task as Minister of Justice.

However, it has been completely overshadowed in recent days due to Amineh Kakabaveh's crucial role in this process, a role that could easily be foreseen.

In this position of foreman, Amineh Kakabaveh has, as expected, raised the issues she is most involved in, namely the situation of the Kurds and her criticism of Turkey.

The agreement between the Social Democrats and Amineh Kakabaveh, which is now confirmed, means, among other things, that Swedish cooperation with the Kurdish PYD in northern Syria will be deepened, an organization that is branded a terrorist by Turkey.

This has also been an important part of the Turkish criticism of Sweden and is a reason why President Erdogan opposes a Swedish entry into NATO.

Sensitive topic

That this is sensitive for the Swedish government is evident not least through Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson's statements on Tuesday.

She repeatedly claimed that no concessions had been made to Amineh Kakabaveh.

That Kakabaveh has a key role in Swedish politics right now is rooted in the unclear and even parliamentary situation in the Riksdag.

Amineh Kakabaveh's voice is crucial to the government's support.

It was confirmed again on Monday and can be updated again when the Riksdag votes on the spring budget next week.

The unclear parliamentary situation has characterized Swedish domestic policy for several years.

This has led to recurring political crises, reduced budgets and several no-confidence votes.

The situation has become even more complicated during the last term of office, when even a prime minister was cast in a no-confidence vote.

One conclusion of this before the election in September is the importance of a government that can lean towards a functioning majority in the Riksdag.

Continued minority government with too weak support paves the way for continued political turbulence and with this also a risk of reduced confidence among voters of parties and politicians.