The June 1 local elections, which have been called 'election overtime,' ended with the victory of the people's power, which became the ruling party after the first change of government in five years.
In this election, the People's Power occupied 12 places (excluding 5 places including Gyeonggi, Jeonbuk, Jeonnam, Gwangju, and Jeju) based on the 17 regional heads of local governments, and dyed the national political map in red, the symbolic color.
Local power was completely replaced in just four years after the Democratic Party won the 2018 local election with a landslide victory of '14 to 3' (including Jeju Island, where independent candidate Won Hee-ryong was elected) based on regional group heads.
This local election report reflects the public opinion to give power to the Yoon Seok-yeol administration, which was launched on the 10th of last month, in the early days of power, and the cold public sentiment toward the Democratic Party, a huge opposition party that has exposed internal conflicts until just before the election even after a change of government in five years. interpretation comes out.
The weight of the public sentiment was to choose the stability theory rather than the check theory.
Numerically, it is a landslide victory for the people's power, but the people's mind also saved the spark of the theory of checks and checks.
This is because the Gyeonggi Governor Election, which was considered the biggest match-up and a barometer of victory or defeat, ended in a victory for the Democratic Party in a drama in the last minute.
It is also possible to interpret that the votes at the bottom did not give the ruling party enough local power to completely neutralize the opposition.
In the nationwide elections held 22 days after the launch of the Yun Seok-Yeol government, it is expected that the power of the people will virtually wipe out the heads of regional organizations with the exception of some such as Gyeonggi Province and the opposition 'vegetable garden', which is expected to strengthen the power of government in the early days of the Yun Seok-Yeol administration.
On the other hand, public opinion against the massive opposition party, the Democratic Party, is expected to further heat up the struggle for power within the Democratic Party as it urges reform and reform of the opposition.
The People's Power won the presidential election on March 9th and the local elections held for the first time in 84 days.
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This is a 'streak of victories' in this year's presidential and local elections, where the conservative party, which had almost collapsed after the impeachment of former President Park Geun-hye, lost four consecutive national elections until the 2016 general election, the 2017 general election, the 2018 local election, and the 2020 general election. It also means that it is cut off.
The results of this election are interpreted as a result of the popular sentiment in favor of the 'stability theory' brought up by the ruling party in order to secure the driving force for state affairs in the early days of the Yoon Seok-yeol administration.
Conversely, it also means that the 'theory of checks' that the Democratic Party has brought up against the new government, which has not been inaugurated for less than a month, has not worked.
In the process of enforcing the 'check-up' (completely depriving the prosecution's investigative power) bill, Prime Minister Han Deok-soo's approval plan, and delaying the processing of the supplementary budget for small business loss compensation, the 'I'm going' Democratic Party of 167 seats was trapped in a frame of domination or an anklet There is also an analysis that it acted against the opposition.
These local elections are the shortest in history since the inauguration of the new government.
As it was a 'honeymoon' period for the new regime, it is generally analyzed that the terrain favorable to the passport was formed.
The so-called 'convention effect' following the inauguration of President Yoon acted as a 'premium' for passports.
During the past three weeks after taking office, President Yoon held a number of '
Although it was criticized for the relocation of the presidential office to Yongsan and the appointment of the cabinet and staff, there were many views that it was still too early to talk about the government judgment.
After President Yoon took office, the positive evaluation of state affairs has increased while the negative evaluation has greatly decreased.
It is evaluated that this situation led to a gathering of supporters of the passport.
During the election period, the support for the People's Power party also made high strides, maintaining a gap of more than 10 percentage points with the Democratic Party.
On the other hand, the Democratic Party struggled all the time, with the local elections on the horizon, such as the allegation of sexual misconduct by Rep. Park Wan-joo, and internal conflicts between Ho-jung Yun and Ji-hyun Park, the co-election leaders at the end of the election.
In response, the Democratic Party launched a 'eupso' strategy to keep the Yoon Seok-yeol government in check, asking for a minimum balance, but it did not have much effect.
Based on the results of the election, the government and ruling parties are expected to accelerate the progress of the new government's state affairs by strongly driving state affairs.
This is while securing a certain amount of power to break through the political situation of the women's society by overcoming the new victory limit of 0.73 percentage points, which is the smallest gap in the history of the last presidential election.
President Yoon postponed the handling of the amendment to the Government Organization Act, which has sensitive issues, such as the abolition of the Ministry of Gender Equality and Family, after the local elections.
At the same time, the promotion of government tasks that are expected to clash with the opposition parties, such as labor reform, pension reform, and education reform, were inevitably affected by the election results.
The People's Power has secured 5 seats minus 2 in Incheon Gyeyang-eul and Jeju-eul in the 7 by-elections for the National Assembly as well as the local elections this time, increasing the number of seats from 109 to 114.
Although it is not enough to overcome the unfavorable terrain of the National Assembly, it has laid the foundation for further nurturing the power of state affairs at the beginning of the new government.
The power of the people is expected to rise above the numbers in the 'negotiations on the composition of the National Assembly for the second half of the year', which was blocked because of the position of the chairperson of the Legislative and Judiciary Committee.
However, as the government and ruling parties still desperately need the cooperation of large opposition parties in order to overcome the limitations of the minority and opposition parties and to carry out state affairs smoothly, they are expected to continue the gesture of 'cooperation' towards the Democratic Party.
As the local elections are over, the dynamics between the passport and the opposition are also expected to change.
First of all, it is expected that the ruling party will strengthen the center of the Chin Yun (Chin Yun Seok-yeol) group led by floor leader Kwon Seong-dong, who is a close aide to President Yun, and a 'unitary rank' will be formed strongly in party-government relations.
Chairman Lee Jun-seok, who led the presidential and local elections to victory, is likely to continue his party reform work until June next year.
However, there is an observation that how the disciplinary procedure related to the 'sexual abuse' allegation may be a variable in the review of the Party Ethics Committee, which will be resumed after the election.
In the case of the Democratic Party, it seems that they will face a backlash as they get embroiled in the debate over the theory of responsibility for losing the election.
However, the comeback victory of Gyeonggi Governor raises the possibility of turning toward seeking an 'ordered retreat' rather than the immediate dismantlement of the non-captain Yun Ho-jung and Park Ji-hyeon-ho systems.