The under 25s, a major asset for the left to bring Jean-Luc Mélenchon to Matignon?

In any case, this is the analysis of the Jean-Jaurès foundation, which qualifies the young electorate "of primary importance for the left, as it is structurally favorable to it", in a note published on Wednesday.

Thus, the study notes that 18-24 year olds voted 36% for Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round of the presidential election, ie 14 points more than the population as a whole.

Better: the left, gathered behind the common banner of the "New Popular Ecological and Social Union" (Nupes), is currently measured "at 59% of voting intentions among 18-24 year olds and 44% among 25-34 years” by the study, “figures much higher than what we see for other political parties”.

"What we observed for the previous presidential election is also found in the voting intentions for the first round of the legislative elections", analyzes the note written by Antoine Bristielle, director of the Opinion Observatory of the Jean-Jaurès Foundation. .

Beware of demobilization

"The more recent the generations, the more they have 'left' values", insists the study.

But if "young people vote mainly on the left", they are also "much more abstaining than other generations", notes the foundation.

Thus, 41% of 18-24 year olds did not vote in the first round of the presidential election, compared to 28% of the general population.

Even if “the result of the next legislative elections will not only depend on the behavior of the youngest voters”, the Jean-Jaurès foundation warns that “the risk is also great for the Nupes that this electorate is largely demobilized between the presidential and the legislative elections. , which we usually see”.

“This is, without a doubt, why Jean-Luc Mélenchon has been trying for several weeks now to politicize and personalize this election.

Because without massive mobilization of this electorate, the Nupes has a very low chance of winning, ”concludes the study.

Policy

Legislative 2022: What is this story of political nuance NUPES?

Is the left right to fear a trick?

Paris

Legislative 2022: Rachel Kéké, "warrior" and chambermaid, soon in the Assembly under the Nupes label?

  • Legislative elections 2022

  • Left

  • Youth

  • Nudes

  • Jean-Luc Melenchon