Russia celebrated the Victory Day of the former Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany in World War II on the 9th.
There is a lot of interest in what Russian President Vladimir Putin will give at the ceremony as he continues his military invasion of Ukraine.
The Russian army is intensifying its offensive with the aim of gaining complete control of the two eastern states of Ukraine, but the Ukrainian side, which receives military support from Europe and the United States, continues to resist, and some are on a reversal offensive.
The war situation has stalled, and the prospect of a longer period is increasing.
Experts point out that Russia is not doing what it was originally intended for.
This is a commentary by Mr. Sugio Takahashi, Director of the National Institute for Defense Studies, Ministry of Defense, and Mr. Hideo Yasuma, a commentator of NHK.
It was broadcast on May 9th at "Good Morning Japan".
(Cannot be viewed on data broadcasting)