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Let's analyze North Korean news with Kim Tae-hoon, a defense expert.



Q. Why did North Korea launch an SLBM?



[Reporter Kim Tae-hoon: The military and experts believe that North Korea fired a SLBM today (7th) in the process of developing a missile according to the 5-year defense development plan rather than having a hidden intention.

In particular, after the SLBM was fired from a whale-class submarine on October 19 last year, the submarine broke down.

As it is the only submarine that fires SLBMs, it can be said that the SLBM test failed during the repair process.]



Q. When will the 7th nuclear test be conducted?



[Reporter Kim Tae-hoon: The military believes that North Korea can conduct a seventh nuclear test at any time in May if it decides to do so.

As I said before, they will do it according to their plans, but it is highly likely that they will choose a time when they can put pressure on South Korea and the United States at the same time.

So, the consensus is that right after President Biden's visit to South Korea is most likely after the inauguration of the new government.]



Q. Should the Yun Seok-yeol administration change its policy toward North Korea and North Korea's resolution?



[Reporter Kim Tae-hoon: President-elect Yoon Seok-yeol, in an interview with Voice of the United States, declared strict reciprocity similar to that of the Lee Myung-bak administration, saying, "If North Korea takes irreversible denuclearization measures, we will prepare a program that can significantly improve the North Korean economic situation." .

This reciprocity with North Korea is a policy that North Korea hates very much, but depending on the level and methodology of this reciprocity, which is embodied in his inaugural address three days later, North Korea's response could be different.

Also, North Korea will pay attention to the South Korea-U.S. summit joint meeting, and it is clear that it is difficult to specify the exact timing of the 7th nuclear test, but considering the recent trends in Punggye-ri, that time seems not far away.]