Relief in the PP for the survey that predicts that Ayuso would only lose one deputy: "With which he has fallen..."

• Politics Ayuso enjoys his first great May 2 between Madrid beer, music by Hombres G and 'selfies'

• May 2 Ayuso censors the "ego and fears of the ruler who believes he is in possession of the absolute truth" in allusion to Sánchez

• Ayuso survey shields his electorate and reaffirms his "street" national profile

Relief without nuance.

This has been the most widespread feeling among the members of the Government of the Community of Madrid and in the PP after reading the EL MUNDO survey that predicts that Isabel Díaz Ayuso would only lose one seat -it would go from 65 to 64- if the regional elections were will celebrate today.

, summarizes a person of the president's utmost confidence.

The results of the Sigma Dos survey have monopolized this Monday the huddles in the celebration of May 2 at the headquarters of the regional Executive of Puerta del Sol, which has recovered its pre-pandemic official reception format with hundreds of guests and canapés washed down with wine Spanish.

In the previous weeks, some internal concern had been generated in case the party crisis and the controversies over the commissions charged for the purchase of masks could

.

But, at least for now, they have been dissipated.

“Now we have a tailwind”

, affirms a veteran PP leader who, based on the theory of electoral cycles, predicts that in 2023 they will reap majorities in the Community and in the Madrid City Council and will conquer almost all the municipalities in the region. as happened in 1995 and 2011. "And, in December, to La Moncloa", he adds about the political future of Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who has supported Ayuso on his first Day of the Community of Madrid since presiding over a single-color Government .

According to the survey published by EL MUNDO, the

baroness could remain in charge of Puerta del Sol

because, although Vox grows in estimated votes -from 13 to 15 deputies-, she continues to add more than the three parties of the left together, with 57 representatives in total.

And this one year after the appointment with the polls.

The majority current in the PP considers

of the internal war between Puerta del Sol and Genoa to have been amortized -which ended with the disintegration of the party's national leadership after the espionage attempt on the president's family was made public- and of the Commission of 55,850 euros that his brother received for the steps in a mask purchase contract that is being investigated by the Anti-Corruption Prosecutor's Office.

On the other hand, one sector is concerned about the consequences of the other contract for the acquisition of sanitary material by the Madrid City Council, now prosecuted, through whose intermediation the businessmen

and Luis Medina received six million euros that were spent on articles of luxury in the middle of the Covid pandemic.

“In the end, this is a tandem: if [José Luis Martínez] Almeida goes down, Isabel obviously does not benefit from it,” says a senior official from the formation, verbalizing a fear shared by other colleagues about

of the capital for this controversy.

The surveys that will be published on May 15, coinciding with the festival of San Isidro, patron saint of the city, will serve to clear up or confirm their uncertainties.

"Useful vote" on the left

Even so, in general, optimism is the note that predominates in the PP regarding 2023, at least with regard to the regional government.

An expert in electoral processes draws as a likely scenario that there is a

that focuses on the PSOE and Más Madrid as the only possible alternative in a coalition formula to the sum of Ayuso with Vox, which could leave out from the hemicycle of Vallecas to United We Can.

"In this case, by application of the D'hondt Law, four of the eight deputies [that the Sigma Two survey gives to the

formation ] would be for us," explains a prominent member of the party who hopes to reach the majority absolute.

Without Pablo Iglesias on the electoral poster and without a consolidated substitute leadership, the minority party in the Vallecas Assembly today exceeds

required to obtain representation by only eight tenths.

Convinced of her electoral potential, Ayuso has made a speech for the Day of the Community of Madrid full of political references in opposition to the Government of Pedro Sánchez and to try to expand her electorate beyond the

.

"We want to move forward by widening the path for everyone who wants to walk it with a broad and hopeful gaze," she stated before all of his predecessors in office except Ignacio González, excluded from these tributes due to his indictment in the

.

Amid the general euphoria encouraged by the polls, an observer quietly appeals to caution: «Do you remember that a year ago Pablo Casado was there as leader of the PP?

.

Twelve months in politics, in light of the experience of recent years, go a long way.

Conforms to The Trust Project criteria

Know more

• Isabel Diaz Ayuso