• Marine Le Pen beat Emmanuel Macron in the second round of the presidential election in one of the most populous regions of France.

  • A result that does not surprise the Lille political scientist Rémi Lefebvre who believes that the region combines all the properties of the Le Pen vote.

Never seen.

Coming in first in four of the five departments of the region (Aisne, Somme, Oise, Pas-de-Calais) Marine Le Pen scored in Hauts-de-France in the second round of the presidential election.

With 52.13%, the RN candidate therefore preceded Emmanuel Macron, re-elected at the national level, in the third region of the country.

On a national scale, it is even its second best score behind Corsica and ahead of PACA, the only other regions where it has come first.

A first in regional political history in the presidential election but anything but a surprise according to Rémi Lefebvre.

This Lillois, researcher and professor in political science, believes that Hauts-de-France concentrates everything that makes the Le Pen vote.

"The Hauts-de-France combine all the properties of the Le Pen vote"

“This result was totally predictable.

Sociologically, there was no suspense.

The region combines all the properties of the Le Pen vote in the 2nd round, namely mainly working-class, non-qualified categories who live in rural and deindustrialized areas.

This cocktail maximizes all the ingredients of the performance of the Le Pen vote, especially against a candidate who is perceived as coming from the elite, ”explains the political scientist.

The repulsive figure of Macron in the working classes also played

Because beyond the undeniable Le Pen effect, Macron's personality undoubtedly amplified the vote in favor of the RN "The figure of Macron is repulsive in the working classes.

He is judged as a haughty Parisian with class contempt.

However, we are in a region that does not support that.

What remains of popular culture in the North is partly this class complex that is a very strong fuel of the Le Pen vote against someone like Macron.

I saw the reactions Sunday evening at Hénin-Beaumont.

There is a terrible hatred for Macron which is an exacerbated class hatred.

In the popular categories, I often hear that "Macron is not one of us".

It is necessarily felt in the vote, ”continues Rémi Lefebvre.

Not necessarily an RN tidal wave to expect in the legislative elections

However, nothing is fixed in a region that has gone from the left to the extreme right in twenty years.

If the non-urban territories of Hauts-de-France vote Le Pen, the regional cities prefer Macron (Lille, Amiens, Arras, Douais, Valenciennes, etc.).

Above all, this success of the RN candidate does not necessarily augur a tidal wave during the legislative elections which will take place on June 12 and 19.

“There is a real dissociation between the presidential and the local elections.

For example, the RN retreated in the region during the last regional and departmental elections because the popular categories do not mobilize for this kind of election.

They often prefer to abstain.

Maybe it will change this time because we feel a little more politicization but beware, the elections are only in seven weeks, people have time to move on by then.

We must also not forget that the voters of the camp that lost very often demobilize in the process.

Even if four of the six deputies of the RN group in the National Assembly were elected in Hauts-de-France (Marine Le Pen, Sébastien Chenu, Ludovic Pajot and Bruno Bilde), nothing therefore says that this figure will increase next June. .

Despite the historic score obtained in the presidential election in the region.

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  • Presidential election 2022

  • Emmanuel Macron

  • Marine Le Pen

  • Hauts-de-France

  • Elections