China News Service, April 13 (Reporter Meng Xiangjun) As Russia and Ukraine each invested reinforcements in the Donbas region, Western media have predicted for days that the largest military conflict between the two sides since the Russian army entered Ukraine is on the verge of breaking out.

　　From "Stinger" and "Javelin" missiles, to armored vehicles and "Switchblade" suicide drones, NATO member states led by the United States are providing military assistance to Ukraine day and night, and the fire is rising.

　　On the 12th, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Kyiv had broken away from the previous negotiation consensus between Russia and Ukraine, and the negotiations had reached a deadlock.

Russian President Vladimir Putin.

　　"The U.S. is determined to use Ukraine as a knife to cut a big hole for Russia to bleed so that it can keep sucking blood," explained Wang Peng, a researcher at the Institute of National Governance at Huazhong University of Science and Technology. The process drags on.

However, behind this, it has a bigger goal.

[Conflict enters a new stage]

　　Ukraine has prepared a "trenches of the First World War" - on the 10th, the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) quoted the analysis of retired Brigadier General Barry of the International Institute for Strategic Studies that in the Donbass, the Ukrainian military has been preparing for war for many years and has rich experience. And fortified with armored vehicles at key locations, it may be difficult for the Russian army to push them back.

　　The US "Wall Street Journal" pointed out that the new combat stage will force the Ukrainian side to conduct conventional battles on relatively flat and open terrain, which will help the Russian side to exert its own advantages.

　　The Russian Ministry of Defense has announced the completion of the first phase of the main task, which is to significantly reduce the combat potential of the Ukrainian side.

The next primary goal is to "completely liberate the Donbass".

FILE PHOTO: Residents of the city of Mariupol in the Donbas region were evacuated from the humanitarian corridor.

　　On the 12th, Putin said that he had no doubt that the purpose of the special operation in Ukraine would be achieved.

[NATO smells new opportunities]

　　The situation in Russia and Ukraine has allowed NATO to smell an opportunity.

　　On the 9th local time, NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg announced that NATO is undergoing a "fundamental reset".

This military group, which has continued from the Cold War to the present, plans to make a permanent and comprehensive military deployment on its eastern flank near Russia.

　　Stoltenberg believes that the "reset" of NATO must be accompanied by an increase in defense spending by member states. The minimum threshold for the alliance is that defense spending accounts for 2% of GDP.

It is Germany, which has always been low-key, that has recently reached the threshold.

　　Since the start of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on February 24, NATO has sent an additional 40,000 troops to the eastern flank from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea, almost 10 times as many as a few months ago.

The alliance will also establish four additional battle groups in Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia.

Data map: The scene of the NATO Defense Ministers' meeting.

　　Wang Peng analyzed that in the more than 30 years since the end of the Cold War, the fundamental nature of NATO has changed, from a regional to a global one, from a defensive to an offensive one, basically playing a role of constant geopolitical expansion.

　　NATO will not stop its eastward expansion, and its power will continue to grow. Sweden and Finland are ready to join this summer.

But Wang Peng explained that, in general, the expansion of this military group in Europe "basically came to an end".

In addition to Russia's hard-core ally Belarus, which cannot be penetrated for the time being, only a few countries such as Ukraine and Moldova have not joined NATO.

　　In the future, Ukraine and other countries may move closer in some form, and NATO may cooperate with Ukraine and give it various titles, not joining in name, but in essence having everything.

[Negotiations face new pressure]

　　Ukrainian President Zelensky had softened his attitude earlier and was willing to discuss Uzbekistan's commitment not to enter into the contract, but his tone has changed recently.

The turning point came when the Western media hyped the "Bucca incident" and formed a public opinion field accusing the Russian army of committing "war crimes".

　　Wang Peng believes that Zelensky's previous performance was just a negotiating strategy, and he also had additional conditions at that time, proposing a referendum on neutrality.

Ukraine's accession to NATO was written into the country's constitution, and "it cannot be changed by the president's words." In fact, Ukraine "is determined to join."

On March 29, local time, the Russian-Ukrainian delegation held face-to-face negotiations in Istanbul, Turkey.

　　The most fundamental reason is that the U.S., the instigator behind the scenes, put pressure on Zelenskiy, not allowing him to soften, and not allowing Ukraine and Russia to start substantive negotiations, Wang Peng further pointed out.

　　The United States is determined to use Ukraine as a knife to "cut a big hole and let it bleed" for Russia. Of course, it will not let this "wound" heal too quickly, so that the United States can keep sucking blood.

Wang Peng analyzed that the United States does not want both sides to quit their troops in the end, but wants to keep spending like this, dragging down Russia, in order to bring the Putin regime down.

　　Moreover, the United States can cover up its various failures in domestic epidemic management and economic development.

[Europe adds new troubles]

　　As nuclear powers, one of the bottom lines of Russia and the United States for more than 70 years is not to directly engage in military conflict.

However, Wang Peng pointed out that the United States is trying to break through the bottom line in another sense. It continues to provide Ukraine with a large number of advanced weapons, allowing Russia and Ukraine to consume each other, so as to unite NATO members and strengthen its control over Europe.

　　In fact, the United States has always been like this. When it wants to strengthen the cohesion of its transatlantic allies, it has established a foreign enemy, such as Russia.

Europeans feel a "great threat from the East" and will rely on the United States on the other side of the ocean.

For example, this time, the US leadership within NATO will be strengthened.

French President Emmanuel Macron.

　　Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov pointed out recently that Russia's actions in Ukraine are "to end NATO's unbridled expansion" and to "end the US domination of the world."

He said that Russia is willing to be part of an equal international community, rather than obeying the will of the United States.

　　Wang Peng pointed out that Europe, which is highly dependent on Russia for its oil and gas resources, once wanted to settle down and not want to make too much war with Russia.

But now the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been ongoing for a long time, basically blocking the idea of ​​internal forces within NATO or Europe to improve relations with Russia.

This faction's right to speak has actually been deprived of it.

　　Regardless of whether France and Germany have any propositions such as building an independent European military, they must at least follow the United States in behavior.

Germany or within the framework of NATO, improve the German defense capabilities.

And this may lead to the strength of the German army in the future, and the direction of change is closer to the will of the United States.

　　Traditionally, the United States must project its power to Europe to confront the Soviet Union and Russia, but in the future it may outsource the "threat" from Russia to Europe, and use the conflict between Russia and Ukraine to completely poison the relationship between Europe and Russia.

Even if Europe is strategically independent in the future, it has already "break up" with Russia. The United States hopes to turn the game between the United States and Russia into a fight between Europe and Russia.

【Indo-Pacific faces new threats】

　　Wang Peng further explained that this may have a global consequence, that is, the United States may be able to free up its hands from Europe and focus on East Asia and the Indo-Pacific region to contain China.

On April 7, local time, the NATO Foreign Ministers' Meeting was held in Brussels, Belgium. The picture shows the meeting site.

Image source: NATO official website.

　　As the leading country, the United States invited countries in the Indo-Pacific region such as Japan, Australia, South Korea and Singapore to participate in the NATO Foreign Ministers Summit, which is a manifestation.

Wang Peng believes that this means that the United States has completely transformed into the Indo-Pacific strategy. Specifically, it is "two modernizations": Indo-Pacific NATOization and NATO globalization.

　　On the basis of the Trump administration, the Biden administration has further deepened and solidified the Indo-Pacific strategy, seeking to improve the level and scope of cooperation among Indo-Pacific countries, and to promote them to form a NATO-like mechanism.

　　Wang Peng said that for the globalization of NATO, the actual focus is on the Indo-Pacificization of NATO.

NATO's expansion in Europe has basically come to an end, and turning to the Indo-Pacific is likely to be a development direction in the future.

　　As a legacy of the Cold War, NATO, centered on the United States, continues to play a defensive guise, but is actually an offensive global military organization.

Wang Peng emphasized that under the leadership of the United States, pro-US forces will continue to swallow and nibble the security interests and strategic living space of all other countries that are considered "disobedient" and do not meet its so-called democratic standards.

This is a warning sign.

(Finish)