China News Service, Beijing, April 12 (Meng Yan) The "Seminar on Changes in the World Industrial Chain Supply Chain" was recently held in Beijing. Ding Yifan, former deputy director of the World Development Research Institute of the Development Research Center of the State Council, and other participating experts said that in the current In the context of major changes in international relations, trade-oriented production and supply chain links are deepening their relationship with geopolitics.
This seminar was jointly organized by Huixin (Xiamen) Science and Technology Innovation Research Institute and Shanghai World Watch Research Institute.
Experts including Yu Xiangdong, Vice President of Shanghai Worldwatch Research Institute, Zhang Xiaoyu, Researcher, and Dai Guoqiang, former Director of China Institute of Science and Technology Information, attended the meeting.
Combining the far-reaching impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on the world industrial chain supply chain, they focused on the risk of production and supply chain interruption, the future trend of the world's production and supply chain, the reconstruction of the dominance of the world order, and ensuring the security of the industrial chain and supply chain, etc. issues to discuss.
Experts at the meeting believed that in the past few decades, globalization has become unstoppable, industrial and supply chains have been continuously integrated and deepened, and the trend of global production and supply chain integration is obvious.
However, in recent years, the undercurrent of "de-globalization" has been surging.
The global outbreak of the new crown epidemic and the current situation in Russia and Ukraine have had a profound impact on the production and supply chain including energy.
Participants pointed out that a clear understanding of the changes in class interests caused by the separation of energy and manufacturing, which in turn has an impact on the political level and international relations, deserves high attention from academics and policy makers.
Some experts further pointed out that "the industrial chain and supply chain should be de-weaponized", and people need to analyze the "three streams" of economic operation (energy flow, product flow and capital flow) to interpret the changes and development trends of the world's production and supply chain.
Experts at the meeting also said that in the context of the current major changes in international relations, trade-oriented production and supply chain links are deepening their relationship with geopolitics.
On the one hand, economic globalization has built a cooperative operation mechanism for the global industrial chain.
The mutual restraint force between the industrial chains is increasing, and it is extremely difficult to exclude one of them.
On the other hand, the "industrial policy" proposed by the US reflects the return of state interventionism, which aims to reconstruct the global industrial chain. This process of exercising power by a sovereign state has a huge impact on enterprises.
Some experts said that compared with the previous globalization, the future may change from "global integration" to "economic regional integration".
Some countries need to strengthen the construction of their own industrial chain.
It should be pointed out that the United States is expected to adopt measures of "de-globalization" and state intervention, and other countries, including China, should continue to conduct in-depth research on how to ensure the stability of production and supply chains.
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