The announcement of the carbon emission roadmap by the Taiwan authorities caused an uproar on the island, and business groups called out: a fantasy!

  [Global Times reporter Cheng Dong] Under the pressure of the international carbon reduction trend, the Tsai Ing-wen authorities were forced to follow up and sketch out Taiwan's "2050 net-zero emissions roadmap".

The vision outlined in the entire roadmap still bears Tsai Ing-wen's unique "Wen Qing" feature, "It looks beautiful, but has no actual content."

Taiwan's environmental protection groups and industrial and commercial people directly said that it is impossible to realize this plan.

Public opinion is summarized as "two shortages and one low"

  On March 30, Taiwan's "National Development and Development Council" announced the "2050 Net-Zero Emissions Roadmap".

  According to the assumption of the Taiwan authorities, urban buses and official vehicles will be electrified in 2030, and newly sold passenger cars and motorcycles will be 100% electrified in 2040; by 2050, Taiwan’s renewable energy will account for more than 60%, and hydrogen energy will account for 9%— 12%, firepower with carbon capture accounts for 20%-27%, pumped water storage accounts for 1%, and nuclear energy is determined to be out. By then, Taiwan's dependence on imported energy will drop from 97.4% to below 50%.

The roadmap also proposes that no new coal-fired power plants will be installed after three years.

  The DPP hopes to achieve three goals: first, the authorities will drive private investment of 4 trillion yuan (NTD, the same below), secondly, the dependence on imported energy will be reduced to less than 50%, and the third is to reduce air pollution by 2030 compared with 2019. Pollution is about 30%.

  After the route map was released, there was an uproar on the island.

Greenpeace concluded that the roadmap is a "two lacks and one low" of "lack of budget, lack of goals and underestimated costs".

According to the plan of the "National Development Council", to achieve net zero emissions by 2050, an additional budget of nearly 900 billion yuan will be added by 2030, including 440 billion yuan for "state-owned enterprises", but the financial The situation is extremely tight. Taipower alone has lost 5.9 billion yuan before tax in January this year, and "China Petroleum" has accumulated losses of 60 billion yuan by February. The current net-zero plan can be described as "wanting to fight without enough food and grass."

  The three major industrial and commercial groups expressed their concerns, believing that this is an "empty talk that cannot be achieved", and that the burden is left to their children and grandchildren.

He Yu, executive director of the Federation of Taiwan Industries, said that Taiwan is narrow and densely populated, coupled with natural conditions such as monsoons, typhoons and geothermal energy, both wind power and solar power are facing challenges, and green energy should account for 60%. Arabian Nights.

He questioned that Japan's geographical conditions are similar to Taiwan's, but the Japanese government can't even do 16% of green energy power generation. Why can Taiwan claim 60%?

Lai Zhengyi, chairman of the Chamber of Commerce, said that according to the requirements of the roadmap, developers' costs will increase by 30 to 40%, which will inevitably push up housing prices.

  "China Times" said on March 31 that the DPP authorities ensured that there would be no shortage of electricity, enough to support the development of enterprises, but the authorities also promoted that Taiwan's economic growth rate ranks first among the "Asian Tigers", and TSMC is also in the Southern Taiwan has vigorously expanded its factories, and the result is that the average annual increase in electricity is only about 2%, which is unbelievable.

Secondly, the "National Development Council" stated that it will no longer build new coal-fired power plants, nuclear power plant IV will be abolished, nuclear power plant two and nuclear power plant three will be decommissioned one after another, and Taiwan's power generation will inevitably decline rapidly.

At the same time, the global demand for Taiwan's semiconductor chips has increased greatly under the turbulent epidemic. It is really questionable whether the future power supply can keep up with the development of the industry.

United News Network said that the roadmap is to continue to draw a big pie after the proportion of "non-nuclear homeland" renewable energy has been delayed, and pinned its hopes on future technology, not to mention the greatly increased electricity costs, people can't help but worry about future shortages. Worry about electricity, power outages and power outages.

DPP manipulates denuclearization for election

  Japan and South Korea, which are adjacent to Taiwan, have issued the "2050 Carbon Neutral Energy Plan". Renewable energy accounts for 50%-60%, and they are also included in the new energy hydrogen energy, but neither has excluded nuclear energy, while Taiwan has excluded it.

  Taiwan is deficient in energy, and its dependence on imported energy exceeds 95%. The two oil crises in 1973 and 1979 had a serious impact on its economic development.

That is to say, since then, the nuclear first, second and third nuclear plants built by the US nuclear power company have been started and put into use one after another.

In the 1980s, the Taiwan Electric Power Company proposed a plan to build a nuclear four in the north. As a result, it has been plagued by various political factors since its construction, and has experienced four times of suspension of construction and shutdown.

In 2014, Ma Ying-jeou announced that Nuclear IV would be sealed.

Taiwanese society has widely divergent views on nuclear 4. In December last year, the "restart of the nuclear 4 referendum" had 3.8 million in favor and 4.26 million in disapproval. The result was "no pass".

  "Anti-nuclear" has always been the "master card" of the DPP.

During the 2020 "general election" campaign, Tsai Ing-wen threw out the so-called "2025 Non-Nuclear Homeland Plan", claiming that Taiwan would not have to rely on nuclear power for power generation in 2025.

The "Electricity Industry Law" passed in the third reading in 2017 clearly set the goal of "non-nuclear homeland by 2025", and adjusted Taiwan's energy ratio to 30% coal, 50% gas, and 20% renewable energy.

  While rejecting nuclear energy, the DPP authorities pushed the polluting thermal power generation.

In 2019, Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan angered that after the DPP banned nuclear power, coal and thermal power were used in large quantities, and the lungs of the central people were used to generate electricity.

Back then, when the smog shrouded central and southern Taiwan, Kaohsiung's famous landmark, the 85 Building, was almost "invisible".

  Xu Shubo, chairman of the Taiwan-wide Chamber of Commerce, said bluntly that he did not understand why nuclear power plants could not be kept as spares.

Lin Bofeng, chairman of the Association for the Advancement of Industry and Commerce, also said that in 2025, the proportion of green energy will not reach 20%. Which region can increase green energy to 60% without using nuclear power?

The authorities' roadmap amounts to leaving the burden to future generations, and may even be reduced to empty talk.

The problem of "five shortages" is becoming more and more serious

  What is the result of nuclear disarmament?

There are serious "five shortages" in Taiwan, namely water shortage, electricity shortage, labor shortage, land shortage, and talent shortage.

  On August 15, 2017, there was a 5-hour power outage across Taiwan, and between May and June 2018, 24 power outages occurred in Taipei and New Taipei.

The Cai authorities were forced to resume operation of Unit 2 of the No. 2 Nuclear Power Plant, which had been shut down for 600 days.

Power outages have been particularly severe in the past two years.

On May 13 last year, 4.15 million households in Taiwan experienced power outages; on May 17 last year, 2 million households experienced a major power outage.

Another 5.49 million households were without power on March 3 this year.

On March 30, Tsai Ing-wen had just promised the American Chamber of Commerce in Taiwan that she would do her best to stabilize the power supply. As a result, there was a sudden power outage in Shilin District, Taipei that night.

  Other aspects are also lacking.

The "forward-looking plan" previously launched by the DPP authorities spent 250.7 billion yuan on water environment construction, promising that Taiwan would not be short of water.

However, last year, Taiwan suffered from a severe drought rarely seen in more than 50 years, and the water situation in Taiwan was in an emergency. Many central and southern reservoirs had less than 15% of the water remaining. In areas with severe water shortages, the measures of "supply 5 stops and 2" were implemented, which led to a surge in panic buying of water buckets. .

Taiwan's former "Environmental Protection Director" Wei Guoyan criticized, from the "salmon rebellion" to the "algal reef referendum" to digging wells in response to thirst, "We not only see all kinds of absurdities, but also feel many crises. Taiwan lacks water, Lack of electricity, but also lack of morality."

  Japanese media have questioned whether Taiwan's old basic power construction can maintain economic development, worrying that the lack of electricity may bring down key industries such as chips.

The white paper previously published by the Federation of Trade Unions stated that the Federation of Trade Unions has been reminding the "five shortages" since 2015 and calling on the authorities to solve them, but related issues have not been properly addressed for several years.

The United News Network mocked that when Tsai Ing-wen painted the beautiful scenery of "non-nuclear homeland", she pretended to forget that people were forced to "generate electricity with their lungs"; if someone reminded her that carbon emissions must be reduced, she would not remember that it has always existed "The speed of Tsai Ing-wen's power supply promise to bounce tickets is faster than Taipower's bounce."