• Advancement The fiasco of Castilla y León slows down the electoral call in Andalusia

  • Politics The Andalusian Government will continue "encapsulated" to exhaust "25% of the legislature"

«We have celebrated four times on 28F and four times on 8M, when they told us that we would not last more than a few months.

The objective of exhausting the legislature, therefore, is fulfilled.

In the Andalusian PP they are clear that, when the elections are held, Juanma Moreno will be able to defend with good reason that he has achieved his purpose, which was none other than to

exhaust the legislature

despite having a coalition government, in a minority and that he has had to surf two world crises.

Setting the date in June or October is only

"a technical issue"

to match the electoral calendar to the institutional agenda and the needs of economic reactivation, PP sources maintain.

Does that mean that the elections could be in the month of June, as is once again speculated?

Well not necessarily.

The debate has been on the table again but from the San Telmo Palace only arguments are offered in favor of maintaining the plans of the President of the Board, determined to rush the deadlines for two main reasons: the first, because it would allow Moreno comply with

the stability that he promised

at the beginning of the legislature against all odds;

and, the second, because

the replacement at the head of the Andalusian PSOE

has not had any effect on the polls that could worry the PP.

So, why has the debate on a

hypothetical early election

been reopened ?

On February 28, just a month ago, the president of the Board admitted in an interview that the internal crisis of the PP -the head-on clash between Pablo Casado and Isabel Díaz Ayuso that took the national leader to the ground- had taken its toll on the party in the community in the form of

four or five electoral support points

.

To this was added the effect of the fiasco in Castilla y León, which had deflated the expectations and euphoria of the PP and which, on top of that, left a Vox grown like never before.

Everything was conjured up to scare away the ghost of an electoral advance in Andalusia that had been flying over for months and of which specific dates were even considered.

The slogan was to move the Andalusian elections as far away as possible and gain time, the more the better, to leave behind so much calamity.

But a month, these days, is an eternity.

Thirty days later, the clouds no longer look so dark and the collateral damage from Alfonso Fernández Mañueco's alliance with Vox and the

internal tsunami in Genoa

seem less serious.

According to different sources consulted by this newspaper, the June option has once again been put on the table after being completely ruled out due to the changes in the political scenario that are taking place.

The main one and the one that can have the most weight is the recovery of the Popular Party in the polls after the Galician Alberto Núñez Feijóo was confirmed as the new

undisputed leader

.

In fact, several sources agree that the final decision to be made by the President of the Board, Juanma Moreno, will be heavily weighted by the

extraordinary congress that the PP

is going to hold on the 1st and 2nd in Seville and, especially, the impetus that the conclave gives to the electoral expectations of the party, both nationally and regionally.

"We will have to be attentive to the polls that will then be published," says a leader of the Andalusian PP.

But from Moreno's entourage a call for calm is made: "We have to give Feijóo time to recover

the pulse of the game

."

There are compelling arguments in favor of placing the ballot boxes in June, such as the budgetary difficulties that the executive is having to face in this

last stretch of the legislature

, with an extended budget that requires continuous juggling for any extra spending to which adds a significant decrease in resources.

If the elections were held before the summer, reflects one of the PP sources consulted, it would at least give time to set up the government and put together a budget for the year 2023. The opposite would mean starting the year 2023 with an

extended budget

... 2021. All this, of course, assuming that the result of the elections would allow the PP to continue governing.

Other sources, however, close to San Telmo insist that the priority of the president of the Board continues to be that the elections take place when they are due, that is, at the end of the year.

It is necessary to value, these sources point out, what brings the message of stability that entails waiting until October or November.

In this sense, these sources deny that

the budgetary factor

may have a determining weight when Moreno makes the decision to call the polls and dissolve Parliament.

In fact, in the event that the elections take place in the autumn, the work to prepare the budget could accelerate in the coming months with the intention of presenting the project

as soon as the new government takes office

.

What really -they insist- would condition that the elections be held sooner or later is if there is a situation of parliamentary blockade that prevents

undertaking the pending legislative projects

and hinders day to day.

And at the moment, they admit, "that is not happening."

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Know more

  • PP

  • vox

  • Seville

  • Alberto Nunez Feijoo

  • citizens

  • Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla

  • Paul Married

  • Isabel Diaz Ayuso

  • Alfonso Fernandez Manueco

  • John Swords

Politics The new executive of the PP will reflect the seamless power of Moreno in Andalusia

Politics The pact with Vox in Castilla y León shakes the Andalusian pre-campaign and emboldens the opposition

PoliticsMoreno affirms that the PP-Vox pact in Castilla y León will not mark Andalusia

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