His alliance has lost the majority, and the opposition will raise confidence tomorrow, Thursday.. Will the Pakistani parliament oust Imran Khan?

ISLAMABAD

- With Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan losing a majority in the National Assembly (Parliament), the fate of his government will be blown by the vote of confidence, which the opposition, led by Shahbaz Sharif, asserts will be presented for discussion tomorrow, Thursday, and that it has the majority to overthrow Khan and his government.

The MQM decided that it had decided to ally with the common opposition to support its motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Imran Khan.

In the wake of the development that occurred late last night, the government led by the "Insaf Movement" party, known as "PTI", lost the majority in the House of Representatives, and the National Assembly is expected to vote on the third of next April, After submitting a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Khan.

With the support of 177 members, the opposition now has a sufficient number of deputies in the National Assembly, and no longer needs the support of the splinter group from Imran Khan's party. On the other hand, the government has only 164 votes from members of Parliament, in light of the recent data, which is not known if they It will change in the coming hours.

Before that, the Baloch People's Party, known as BAP, announced its separation from the ruling coalition and joining the opposition. It should be noted that the United National Movement Party has 7 seats, while the Baloch People's Party has 5 seats, while Pakistani media say One seat of the Baloch party will be with the government.

Thus, it can be said that Imran Khan lost 11 votes, which is what the opposition needs to win the vote to oust him.

Meanwhile, Pakistani media quoted Interior Minister Sheikh Rashid that there will be a speech by Imran Khan at exactly six o'clock this evening Wednesday local time, and foreign media, especially the Indian, have promoted that Imran Khan will submit his resignation, or announce the dismissal of some ministers, but the Minister Media Fuad Chaudhry denied this and confirmed that Khan would not submit his resignation.

These developments come after a period of controversy that dominated the Pakistani arena and caused a heated political situation in the country, and ended with opposition leader Shahbaz Sharif submitting a request to put confidence in Imran Khan last Monday, and it is scheduled to be presented for discussion tomorrow, Thursday, while political sources expect it to be the third of the month. Next April is the date for a vote of confidence.

During Monday's session, Shahbaz Sharif, opposition leader in the National Assembly and leader of the Muslim League (Nawaz), said that "this assembly is of the opinion that the Prime Minister of Pakistan Imran Khan has lost the confidence of the majority of the members of the Pakistani National Assembly, so he should stop holding the position."

It is not known whether the session tomorrow, Thursday, will be only to discuss the draft withdrawal of confidence, or it will also be for a vote on the draft, as the Pakistani newspaper, The News International, said that “the session has been set for March 31 (March) for discussion, And perhaps also a vote to decide the fate of the prime minister."

Last minute deals

Meanwhile, the Pakistani arena appears more complex with the political conflict reaching its final stages, amid continuous moves by both sides to conclude political deals.

While the opposition is talking about having enough votes to bring down Imran Khan, Khan is making some moves that can ensure him exit the vote victorious.

In a new move, the Pakistan Muslim League (Pakistan's Quaid-e-Azam wing) announced that it is putting its weight behind Prime Minister Imran Khan, after Khan yesterday offered the position of Prime Minister of Punjab to Chaudhry Pervez Elahi, instead of the provincial Prime Minister Osman Buzdar, who submitted his resignation last Monday.

According to Pakistan's DAWN newspaper, the party's support for Imran Khan is seen as a revival of his hopes to save his government, with Pervez Elahi telling Dunya News that the no-confidence vote will fail.

Fears of widening street movement in support of Imran Khan and the opposition based on the (European) Parliament vote

Will the opposition succeed in overthrowing Imran Khan?

Imran Khan has been trying over the past days to get enough support for his government to survive the vote, and in light of these developments, the Jahangir Khan Tarin group - which is from the ruling party - held a meeting on Tuesday in Lahore to discuss the political situation, and the group is likely to support Pervez Elahi.

In this context, journalist and political analyst Sharif Sheikh says, "Taren's group remains the carrier of the deciding voice, as its joining the opposition will mean Imran Khan will lose his position, and if it joins Imran, this will mean a defeat for the opposition."

Sheikh added to Al-Jazeera Net, "It is expected that the Tarin group will join the "Insaf Pakistan" movement, especially after the resignation of Bozdar, which is one of the group's demands, but things will become clear shortly before the voting date."

Sheikh also said, "After Imran Khan nominates Pervez Ilahi for the position of Chief Minister of Punjab after Osman Buzdar submitted his resignation from the position, it is expected that the Muslim League - the wing of the Grand Commander - will join the ruling coalition and not the ranks of the opposition, which will strengthen Khan's position during the vote."

Supreme Court and escalation in the street

In the same context, journalist and political analyst Hudhayfa Farid said, "In addition to the splits within the ruling coalition, the opposition's hopes depend mainly on the ruling of the Supreme Court, which still has not resolved the controversy over the issue of lawmakers from the ruling party voting against their party, as it was repeated during the period The latter is the issue of not counting the votes of dissident lawmakers from Imran Khan's party."

Farid added to Al-Jazeera Net that "recent developments give possibilities for the possibility of splits within the opposition movement, and therefore, given the developments on the ground, it can be said that Imran Khan will remain in power."

On the other hand, journalist and political analyst Javed Rana said that "the fear that overthrowing the ruling party and its government, after being threatened with no-confidence, would cause its supporters to take to the streets and the possibility of the country descending into a state of violence, made the pro-government parties that were thinking of withdrawing to return to it again."

"But we cannot be certain that he will win over the opposition or lose the vote, but all we can say is that the next 24 hours will be when the correct news will appear," Rana added.

Speaking to Al Jazeera Net, Rana said, "At this time, we can say that Prime Minister Imran Khan has become unwanted by the United States, and he may have received threats from Washington," he said.

But at the same time, the opposition seems confident of its ability to bring down Khan. The head of the Association of Islamic Scholars, Fazl Maulana Fazlur Rahman, said on Monday that Prime Minister Imran Khan should be put on the travel ban list so that he does not leave the country after the success of the motion of no confidence in him.