As a result of the Russian attack on Ukraine, the Germans fear for the security of the energy supply, while the Arabs fear for their daily bread.

Because in the Arab world, wheat consumption is twice as high as in the rest of the world.

Rainer Herman

Editor in Politics.

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However, the countries only produce a small part of this themselves; their most important suppliers have so far been Russia and Ukraine.

The war will hit them twice: a not inconsiderable part of the planned deliveries will be canceled and they will have to pay a higher price for what they get.

failures of governments

Egypt, the world's largest wheat importer, has already asked the International Monetary Fund for help.

The looming supply crisis is revealing the failings of most Arab governments: the population is growing rapidly, food security has never been an issue, and heavily subsidized bread is an important instrument in many countries to ensure social peace.

Since the last bread riots in 2007, Egypt has again doubled its high wheat imports.

The Gulf monarchies have taken precautions

The well-governed Gulf monarchies think more strategically.

Most of the states of this new Arabia set up ministries of food security years ago.

You will get through this crisis well.

In the other countries, however, bread riots are threatening again, which could become aftershocks of the mass protests of 2011 and 2018.