It is not excluded that Kyiv will eventually surrender under the weight of the Russian army's offensive, but we can expect a long resistance that combines guerrilla warfare, harassment and passive resistance. Are we facing a new Afghanistan this time for Putin?

This is what came in a report by Isabelle Lasserre, a writer in the French newspaper, Le Figaro, which specializes in diplomatic affairs. within 48 hours."

But the matter, according to the writer, took 5 weeks of aerial bombardment, tank attacks and an unprecedented outbreak of violence, and Russia was not able to control the presidential palace in Grozny until January 21, 1995, and the conflict continued after that for two years and was followed by another conflict, which lasted longer and did not It ends until 1999, after Grozny and Chechnya are completely destroyed, which means that wars are not going as planned, neither in Grozny yesterday, nor in Kyiv today, according to the writer.

The writer added, "It is true that the similarities between the two cases are still weak, but they exist. The first attack on Kyiv, which was believed to be a blitzkrieg, which aimed to capture Hostomil Airport, and then carried out an attack in the center of the capital to cut off the head of political power there or capture the president Ukrainian Volodymyr Zelensky, or killed, was thwarted by the Ukrainian resistance."

She added that some Russian tanks were stranded on both sides of the road, and Ukrainian defenses shot down Russian bombers, not to mention the families of a number of Russian youths who seemed lost claiming that they did not know anything about this war that they were drawn into.

It is remarkable, according to the writer, that some newspapers close to the Russian authorities dared to express, albeit symbolically, their opposition to the war, as demonstrations in support of Ukraine swept all European countries, and Belarusians appeared singing “No to War.”

Even the Metropolitan of the Russian branch of the Orthodox Patriarchate of Ukraine, who is close to Moscow, called for an end to the "brothers' war", recalling the sin of Cain who killed his brother Abel.


The writer commented on this, saying that it is still too early to answer the question “Is Ukraine turning into Putin’s Afghanistan?”, But it is not too early to ask the question, has Vladimir Putin gone too far this time?

Will the war in Ukraine be a new Afghanistan for Russia?

Will it be the beginning of the end of the era of a president who became a tsar and then a dictator?

asks the writer.

By announcing, from the fourth day of the war, the intensification of the offensive and its expansion to include the whole of Ukraine, and by calling for battalions from Chechnya to support the Russian conscripts, Vladimir Putin - according to the writer - has taken a new step in his escape forward, and, like many politicians in Western Europe, he has also underestimated Ukrainian national.

It seems that his conviction that Ukraine is an "artificial" and "illegitimate" country made him fail, according to the writer, to appreciate the resistance of the Ukrainian soldiers, but rather the resistance of the Ukrainian people as a whole, as the Ukrainians threw Molotov cocktails from the windows at the Russian tanks, and declared them loudly that they are all united behind their president Volodymyr Zelensky, who also showed unparalleled courage and composure.

It is clear, according to the writer, that Ukraine 2022 is far from Ukraine in the first decade of the 21st century, as it has become a country with European values ​​and democracy, far from the Kremlin's approach that resembles what it was in the Middle Ages.


The writer warned that the Russians have often been told that the Ukrainians are their brothers. Therefore, Thorniki Gordadze, a specialist at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, says: If Vladimir Putin, in order to win the war, had to resort to a deluge of violence as he did in Syria;

If, in order to capture the city, he had to bombard it intensely, the trap would risk approaching him.

Because if the Russian population were not worried about the fate of the Syrians, it would be different about the fate of the Ukrainians.

Since the beginning of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in 2004, the Kremlin's policy has backfired, the newspaper added.

Far from bringing Kyiv back into the Russian fold, it has brought the Ukrainians closer to the West and especially to Europe.

Today, Vladimir Putin, who wanted Ukraine to be disarmed, sees European countries giving more weapons to the Kyiv government.

Since the same reasons lead to the same results - the writer concluded - the Soviets invaded Afghanistan in 1979, and after 10 years of war and the killing of 15,000 soldiers, Moscow was forced to withdraw from a war it could not win, and the defeat in Afghanistan contributed to the collapse of the Warsaw Pact and the fall of the Warsaw Pact. The Soviet Union, therefore, out of arrogance, could take Vladimir Putin in Ukraine the same path that Soviet President Leonid Brezhnev took in Afghanistan.