In some polls, this person is higher, in some polls that person is higher, the results of the polls are different.

I don't know which poll to believe.



The SBS Election Team has released the 'Meta S In-depth Public Opinion Index' to solve this problem.

The process of finding reliable poll figures.

The SBS Fact Check fact team analyzes the figures and provides them to viewers.



The meta-S index is a 'weighted average' of the opinion poll values ​​of 30 institutions that conduct presidential election surveys nationwide among 89 survey institutions registered with the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee and expressed as a single line.

The word 'weight' is important here.

The most reliable method by averaging the weighted average according to the political orientation of the requesting agency or research institution, ARS method or whether the telephone interviewer made a direct call, whether the call was made using a secure number or a random call (RDD), and even in what time period the survey was conducted. It's about deriving numbers.



Wonho Park, Professor of Political Science and International Relations at Seoul National University (Central Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee member), Hyun Kyung-bo Adjunct Professor at Yonsei University Graduate School of Media and Public Relations (Central Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee member), and Byun Jong-seok Professor of Applied Statistics at Hanshin University (Former President of the Korean Research Association) configured.



However, there is a time lag of two days because the poll results are published 48 hours after the polls are posted on the women's hearts.

The meta-S indicator received a voter interpretation from the Election Commission that there is no problem in the election law.



MetaS indicators are published daily on the SBS presidential election page.



So, what is the most recent metaS index that can be analyzed?

The analysis was based on February, which is the closest to the presidential election.



Detailed figures can be found in the video.