Presidential 2022: Can Zemmour really reach the second round?

The presidential election will take place on April 10 and 24, 2022. Less than two months from the first round, we have summarized for you the results of the polls carried out over the last fortnight by various institutes: 

and 

.

The graphs in this article allow you to view a summary of voting intentions in the first and second rounds by institute and by opposition scenario in the second round.

Voting intentions in the first round of the 2022 presidential election

In the middle of February, and less than two months before the presidential election, the battle for the second round is still raging between the main right-wing and far-right candidates.

According to the latest surveys from the

institute , Eric Zemmour is ahead of LR candidate Valérie Pécresse by more than 0.5 points in the polls.

The latter being at 14% of voting intentions against 14.5% for Eric Zemmour.

Marine Le Pen meanwhile maintains her lead with 17.5% of voting intentions.

Among the statements of the institutes presented here, the rise in the polls for the candidate of the "Reconquest" party is tangible between the months of January and February.

The latest statement from

presents the candidate with 15% of voting intentions against 12.5% ​​in mid-January.

The same goes for

, where the candidate Zemmour reached 14% of voting intentions on February 14 against 12% on January 14.

Finally, while outgoing President Emmanuel Macron maintains a comfortable lead, there is little change on the left.

According to the latest statement from

, Jean-Luc Mélenchon would still be credited with approximately 10% of voting intentions.

There is an increase for the PCF candidate Fabien Roussel, from about 3% of voting intentions in January to 5% in February, according to

.

Christiane Taubira falls to 3.5% of voting intentions according to 

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By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris-Interactive.

By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Eric Zemmour

If the latest statements of voting intentions for the first round are rather favorable to the far-right candidate, those of the second round are quite categorical.

In the event of a second round against the outgoing president,

attributes only 36% of voting intentions to Eric Zemmour on February 14, while the

institute positions him at 37% on February 10.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Valérie Pécresse

Regarding the hypothesis of a face-to-face between candidate LR and the outgoing president, the gap is widening between the two candidates.

The various institutes note a gap which widens from the beginning of February.

Thus, according to the latest statements from

, Valérie Pécresse would only be credited with 43% of the voting intentions.

A slightly less severe table for

and

who credit it respectively with 45% and 46% of voting intentions in the second round of the presidential election.

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By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris-Interactive.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Marine Le Pen

It is still the status quo between the candidate of the National Rally and the outgoing president in the event of a second round opposing them.

The latest opinion polls thus waver between 56% of intention to vote in favor of Emmanuel Macron, according to

, and 54.5% according to

.

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By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris-Interactive.

By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

For more on the polls featured here, check out our sources below:​

• OpinionWay

• Ifop-Fiducial 

• Harris-Interactive

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• Valerie Pécresse

• Elections

• Emmanuel Macron

• Survey

• Eric Zemmour

• Presidential election 2022

• 2022 Presidential Polls

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