The SBS data journalism team, 「Careful Action」, is

concentrating on analyzing past presidential elections with the

<My Neighborhood Election Story> together with the fact-checking team <The Truth> ahead of the 20th presidential election.

We have prepared an interactive site where you can find out the stories of our neighborhood's past presidential elections at a glance. 



▶<Our Neighborhood Presidential Election Story> interactive page address


☞ https://mabu.newscloud.sbs.co.kr/election2022/



「Election Action」 is from the 16th Presidential Election (2002) to the 19th Election (2017), which have been held since the 2000s. By analyzing the vote counting data up to the year), various information such as historical vote change, vote rate analysis, and winning percentage of elected candidates are analyzed in units of 'city, county', and classified into 'conservative', 'progressive', 'tweezers', 'warfront' I gave it a nickname.

For example, a neighborhood where only conservative candidates consistently ranked first in the vote rate is nicknamed 'conservative brute force', and a place where the difference in votes between 1st and 2nd place was fierce is nicknamed 'Fighting Battlegrounds'. 



Aren't you curious about the characteristics of your neighborhood?

Finding out the characteristics of our neighborhood will be another fun way to enjoy this presidential election.


How did the wind of our local people's hearts blew in the past?

Will there be more conservative votes in this election than in the last one?

Or did the public lean toward the progressives?

To observe how public opinion has changed, it is necessary to examine the difference in the percentage of votes in two consecutive elections and the change.

For easy understanding, let's look at the case of Seocho-gu, Seoul.

In Seocho-gu's 18th presidential election, former President Park Geun-hye took the top spot (58.61%), but it fell far short of former President Lee Myung-bak's (64.41%), who took first place in the 17th presidential election.

In other words, it means that the winds of the people are inclined toward progressive candidates.



This trend of public sentiment continued until the 19th presidential election, and the weather vane moved further to the left.

In order to accurately observe past votes, it is important to understand the wishes of the people well.

If you are curious about the weather vane of the people, you can find out more in <My Neighborhood Presidential Election Story>.


Is it similar to the national sentiment?

Where is the leaky neighborhood?



In 「Walk of the Horse」, we also looked at how many cities, counties, and wards that got all the elected candidates got their votes similar to the national vote rate.

The synchro rate (concordance rate) was calculated by calculating the national vote rate of candidates in the recent four presidential elections and the error in the vote rate of candidates received from 252 cities, counties, and gu.

In other words, the closer the synchronization rate is to 100%, the more similar it is to the overall trend.



If so, where was the 'Tengi Leak' neighborhood where the previous elected candidates were most closely matched to the overall situation?

From the 1987 presidential election, Guri-si, Gyeonggi-do had a high synchronization rate of 96.17%, and in elections after the 2000s, Paldal-gu, Suwon-si, Gyeonggi-do ranked first with a synchronization rate of 97.82%.

Will we be able to match the national sentiment closely this time in our neighborhood?




▶<Our Neighborhood Presidential Election Story> Interactive page address


(this page is optimized for Chrome browser)


☞ https://mabu.newscloud.sbs.co.kr/election2022/