Middle East Eye: Why are the Iran nuclear deal talks likely to fail the day after tomorrow?

The possibility of failure of the Iran nuclear deal talks this time is relatively high, says columnist Shahir Shahidsalis, which could lead to a risky level of escalation in the conflict between America and Iran and possibly war.

The Canadian-Iranian journalist clarified in

for the

British

"

" website

that even if an agreement is reached in the round that will start on Monday in Vienna, the mutual hostility between Washington and Tehran and Khamenei's moves to block the détente are only a matter of time before they The nuclear deal becomes unstable and collapses again.

He said that the distance between the "hardliners" in Tehran and the Biden administration is very wide, and he cited previous statements by the Iranian leader Ali Khamenei, politicians and writers in which they strongly criticize former Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and his Foreign Minister Muhammad Javad Zarif and the US administration, saying that against this background, how can the hardliners led by Khamenei return To the original nuclear deal and justify such a move to their social base?

Iranian focus on lifting sanctions

Shahidsalis indicated that the Revolutionary Guards - which is one of the two main centers of power in Iran alongside Khamenei and his office - confirmed at the end of last month that Iran's new approach to reviving the nuclear agreement would include insisting on the effective removal of all harsh sanctions, a guarantee by Western countries to fully fulfill their obligations and emphasizing that they You will not violate the deal and abandon it again, and implement a mechanism to verify the lifting of sanctions.

The writer pointed out that the Joe Biden administration's agreement to the mentioned Iranian terms could endanger Biden and Democrats for what he described as appeasing Iran's hard-line government and its president linked to the mass executions of political prisoners in 1988, and who still defends his actions, as he recently told reporters, "If a judge or A public prosecutor for the security of the people should be commended."

In addition, the Biden team cannot guarantee that the United States will not abandon the deal again in accordance with the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2012.

Shahidsales said that European governments could provide assurances that the deal would be supported even if the United States withdrew. After Trump's withdrawal, France, Germany and Britain tried hard to circumvent US sanctions by setting up a mechanism to support commercial activities between European companies and Iran, but it never succeeded. Because European banks and companies were not willing to risk a US market ban or astronomical sanctions for violating US sanctions.