Covid: 40 thousand cases peaked a year ago, five times today

Over 40 thousand cases, 550 deaths, thousands of intensive care units already occupied and tens of thousands of patients in the wards. It was the nightmare scenario of November 13, 2020. Exactly one year ago Italy reached the peak of cases of the second wave and of all time: 40,902. Lombardy alone exceeded 10,000 cases, Piedmont 5,000, Veneto was 3,600. Moreover with 255 thousand swabs: the positivity rate was monstrous, 16%. A year later the scenario has completely changed. There are 8,544 cases today, five times fewer. The deaths 53, ten times. In 2020, 3,230 patients were hospitalized in intensive care (but the peak would have come at the end of the month, 4 thousand), today they are 453. The hospitalized in the wards were almost 31 thousand, today they are 3,597. The buffers have more than doubled, thanks to the green pass effect: today they were 540 thousand,for a positivity of 1.6%. Again, ten times less. In short, the situation in 2021 is completely different, despite the clearly increasing trend and the concern that has once again spread throughout Europe. How different the scenario is: in 2020 we had already entered the color system, half of Italy was even in the red area, in fact in semi-lockdown. After 10pm it was not possible to go out except for proven reasons: there was a curfew until 5am. Moreover, the circulating stock was still the original one from Wuhan: the English variant, or alpha, had yet to arrive, and above all the delta, now dominant, extremely contagious. All factors against viral containment this autumn suspended between fear and hope. But, of course, we have the 'game changer' today and not a year ago: the vaccine. Today,91 million doses administered later, with 72% of those over 12 protected, we were able to afford an almost normal life for months, with only a few annoying but indispensable prescriptions such as a mask in closed public places. We have packed stadiums, clubs, discos. Different scenario, which also means extreme uncertainty: what will happen now? How far will this fourth wave go? The experts, quite rightly, largely distance themselves from these questions (last yesterday the Director General of Prevention of the Ministry of Health, Gianni Rezza), essentially saying that there are no precedents, and that it would take the glass ball to know. The most pessimistic fear that it is only a time shift,and that the dramatic ride that began last year in October and exploded in November and December is only a month late. The others, the majority, that the effect of vaccines, albeit weakened by the months that pass (after six months, is the data provided today by the ISS, the protection from infection falls to 50%) together with the extended green pass and the Survivors' precautionary measures are making it possible to ride the wave without the health system going into distress. The next few weeks will clear up the dilemma.they are making it possible to ride the wave without the health system going into distress. The next few weeks will clear up the dilemma.they are making it possible to ride the wave without the health system going into distress. The next few weeks will clear up the dilemma. 

Coronavirus, 8,544 new cases with 540,371 swabs and 53 deaths.
Positivity at 1.6%

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November 13, 2021 More than 40 thousand cases, 550 deaths, thousands of intensive care units already employed and tens of thousands of sick in the wards.

It was the nightmare scenario of November 13, 2020. Exactly one year ago Italy reached the peak of cases of the second wave and of all time: 40,902.

Lombardy alone exceeded 10,000 cases, Piedmont 5,000, Veneto was 3,600.

Moreover with 255 thousand swabs: the positivity rate was monstrous, 16%.

A year later the scenario has completely changed.

There are 8,544 cases today, five times fewer.

The deaths 53, ten times.

In 2020, 3,230 patients were hospitalized in intensive care (but the peak would have come at the end of the month, 4 thousand), today there are 453. The hospitalized in the wards were almost 31 thousand, today they are 3,597. The buffers have more than doubled, thanks to the green pass effect: today they were 540 thousand, for a positivity of 1.6%. Again, ten times less.

In short, the situation in 2021 is completely different, despite the clearly increasing trend and the concern that has once again spread throughout Europe. How different the scenario is: in 2020 we had already entered the color system, half of Italy was even in the red area, in fact in semi-lockdown.

After 10pm it was not possible to go out except for proven reasons: there was a curfew until 5am. Moreover, the circulating stock was still the original one from Wuhan: the English variant, or alpha, had yet to arrive, and above all the delta, now dominant, extremely contagious. All factors against viral containment this autumn suspended between fear and hope. But, of course, we have the 'game changer' today and not a year ago: the vaccine.

Today, 91 million doses administered later, with 72% of those over 12 protected, we have been able to afford an almost normal life for months, with only a few annoying but indispensable prescriptions such as a mask in closed public places. We have packed stadiums, clubs, discos. Different scenario, which also means extreme uncertainty: what will happen now? How far will this fourth wave go? The experts, quite rightly, largely distance themselves from these questions (last yesterday the Director General of Prevention of the Ministry of Health, Gianni Rezza), essentially saying that there are no precedents, and that it would take the glass ball to know. The most pessimistic fear that it is only a time shift,and that the dramatic ride that began last year in October and exploded in November and December is only a month late. The others, the majority, that the effect of vaccines, albeit weakened by the months that pass (after six months, is the data provided today by the ISS, the protection from infection falls to 50%) together with the extended green pass and the Survivors' precautionary measures are making it possible to ride the wave without the health system going into distress. The next few weeks will clear up the dilemma.they are making it possible to ride the wave without the health system going into distress. The next few weeks will clear up the dilemma.they are making it possible to ride the wave without the health system going into distress. The next few weeks will clear up the dilemma.

Covid: 40 thousand cases peaked a year ago, five times today

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