China News Service, November 13th. According to the European Times, the border disputes between Belarus, Poland and Lithuania caused by refugees are still fermenting.

Poland and Lithuania continue to strengthen border controls, and the European Union also threatened to tighten sanctions. In response, Belarus warned to cut off the supply of natural gas to Europe, triggering a new round of worries that European natural gas prices will rise further.

Data map: Belarusian President Lukashenko attended the military parade.

The border refugee crisis fermented Belarus or the implementation of "stop gas"

  The British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) reported that thousands of refugees from places such as Iraq, Syria and Yemen were stranded at the Polish border, hoping to enter the European Union through the way.

In response, the European Union accused Belarus of creating this border refugee crisis and undermining European security, but Belarus denied the allegations.

In retaliation, the EU plans to impose a new round of sanctions on Belarus.

  In response to the EU threat, Belarusian leader Lukashenko quickly responded: "If they impose additional sanctions on us... we must fight back." He said, "We are heating Europe, but they are threatening us. If we cut off natural gas What about the supply? I would advise Poland, Lithuania, and other empty-headed people to think twice before acting."

  Europe is currently mired in the quagmire of natural gas shortages and high prices.

The exiled Belarusian opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya accused Lukashenko of "bluffing."

  However, Dr. Katia Yafimava of the Oxford Energy Institute believes that Belarus’s comments should be treated with caution.

"If the EU exerts too much pressure on Belarus, it is likely to be forced to take action." He added that this could further push up natural gas prices across Europe, including the United Kingdom.

Lukashenko holds the "ace": Yamal-Europe gas pipeline

  Where does Lukashenko's confidence come from?

Because he depends on the Yamal-Europe pipeline, the Russian gas pipeline that enters the European Union through Belarus.

  According to the British "Guardian" report, the pipeline is owned by Gazprom and has a length of more than 2,600 miles. It transports Russian natural gas from the Yamal Peninsula and giant gas fields in western Siberia to Poland and Germany.

Although this pipeline does not lead directly to other European countries, it ensures the supply of Germany's huge natural gas storage facilities, and continental European energy companies and traders rely on these facilities.

  The Yamal-Europe pipeline is an important channel for European natural gas imports.

At present, Russia is still Europe's largest natural gas supplier. In 2020, about one-fifth of Russia's gas supply to Europe will pass through Belarus, and will be transported mainly through the Yamal pipeline.

  Due to the economic slowdown caused by the new crown pneumonia epidemic, global demand for fossil fuels has surged, and natural gas prices across Europe have reached record highs.

Therefore, once the gas supply is interrupted, it may further push up the price of natural gas. In addition to raising household bills, it may also cause the closure of factories and cause serious economic impact.

Data map: Russian President Putin (right) and Belarusian President Lukashenko (left).

Russia keeps silent, more EU sanctions will be launched soon

  In fact, it is reported that the dispute over the natural gas pipeline between Russia and Europe has been going on for many years.

In 2009, after the breakdown of supply contract negotiations, Russia cut off the supply of natural gas to Ukraine.

  However, at present, Russia has not yet responded to the remarks that Belarus has cut off the gas supply.

For Europe, Russia's natural gas exports are not ideal. Russia's largest customer is actually Asia where demand is higher.

  According to reports, the EU may introduce more sanctions as early as next Monday (November 15). Possible measures include preventing international airlines carrying refugees from landing at the airport in Minsk, the capital of Belarus.

  In addition, the European Union is also considering imposing sanctions on the Russian national airline Aeroflot because the company is transporting refugees to Belarus, but Aeroflot has denied this allegation.

  In addition, Turkish National Airlines said.

The sale of air tickets on certain routes to citizens of Iraq, Syria and Yemen will be restricted.

Iraq said.

The withdrawal of Iraqi citizens staying in Belarus is being organized.