China News Service, November 10 (Guan Na) Comprehensive report. On the afternoon of November 10, local time, Fumio Kishida, President of the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party, passed the election of prime ministers by the provisional parliament and became the 101st prime minister of Japan. Then it was formally formed.

　　Kishida previously served as Japan’s 100th prime minister, and he was in power for less than 40 days, setting a record for the shortest number of days in power by a prime minister after the war.

Data map: On October 4, local time, Fumio Kishida (middle), President of the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party, became the 100th Prime Minister after being named and elected by the prime minister in the plenary session of the House of Representatives.

　　The "2.0 version" of the Kishida regime may not only face a situation of "distorting Congress" internally, but also have many constraints on foreign policy.

There are traces of why the Kishida regime, which followed the line of Abe and others, was accused of being a "weak regime" at the beginning of its formation.

To reorganize the cabinet or follow the old path

　　Although Fumio Kishida became the prime minister of Japan again, the members of his cabinet "neither the soup nor the medicine."

　　According to reports, the members of the second cabinet of Kishida have the same positions as the first cabinet except that the foreign minister of Japan is replaced by Lin Fangzheng.

On November 10th local time, Fumio Kishida attended the Provisional Congress in the Tokyo House of Representatives.

　　In the previous election for the Japanese House of Representatives, the Liberal Democratic Party Secretary-General Liming Gan resigned due to the election failure, and the post was taken over by the then Foreign Minister Toshi Motegi.

As a result, Lin Fangzheng made up for the vacancy of the foreign minister's post.

　　The report pointed out that Lin Fangzheng had served as the defense minister and was known for his proficiency in policies. He was affiliated with the Kishida faction within the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan and was the "second commander" of the faction and was trusted by Kishida.

　　In the first cabinet, Kishida "struggled to show his own characteristics", he was obsessed with appointing young and strong and female parliamentarians.

However, even so, Wang Xinsheng, a professor in the Department of History at Peking University, pointed out to Chinanews.com that it can be seen from the selection of cabinet members that Kishida is still under the influence of former prime ministers Shinzo Abe and Taro Aso, and is a "weak regime." .

Data map: Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Taro Aso interacting at the parliamentary meeting of the House of Representatives in Tokyo.


Although the first battle was successful, the test did not diminish

　　On October 14, local time, only 10 days after Kishida took office as prime minister, he quickly launched the procedure to dissolve the House of Representatives. His first cabinet also set the record for the "shortest-lived cabinet" after World War II.

　　The results of the House of Representatives election strengthened Kishida's confidence in governance.

Although Japan's Liberal Democratic Party has reduced its seats, it has also reached an "absolutely stable majority" sufficient to maintain the stable operation of the National Assembly alone.

　　According to the latest poll conducted by the Japan Broadcasting Association (NHK), the approval rate of the new cabinet led by Kishida has risen to 53%, an increase of 5 percentage points from the results of a survey conducted a week before the election of the House of Representatives in October.

　　However, analysis pointed out that the loss of many important Liberal Democrats in the elections for small constituencies indicates that the Kishida regime will continue to carry the political "negative legacy" left by Shinzo Abe and Yoshihide Suga, and will continue to face challenges in the future.

　　In addition, the total number of seats in the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party has greatly exceeded the pre-election expectations, but it has not reached two-thirds of the rated seats.

　　The report pointed out that if the bill is vetoed in the Senate, the two parties alone will not be able to vote again in the House of Representatives.

　　In 2022, Japan will hold elections for the Senate. If the ruling party loses less than half of its seats, there will be a "distorted parliament" with different majorities in the House of Representatives and the Senate.

The bill opposed by the opposition party is expected to fail, and the operation of the regime will become difficult.

Data map: Fumio Kishida, elected prime minister and president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan.

Diplomatic constraints are too many and pain points are difficult to solve

　　The Kyodo News Agency of Japan stated that the Kishida regime is facing daunting challenges in the diplomatic field.

　　Liu Jiangyong, a professor in the Department of International Relations at Tsinghua University, once pointed out that in terms of diplomacy, the "Abe model" will continue after Kishida takes office.

　　First of all, insist on the Japan-US alliance as the core.

Relevant members of the Japanese government have stated that in order to hold talks with US President Biden, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida intends to visit the United States within November.

The two sides will reconfirm the Japan-US alliance.

　　On the other hand, Kishida, who has been following a moderate "dovish" line before, has successively announced "hawkish" policies after taking office. Recently, he has made many tough remarks against China, advocating "non-recession" against China.

　　"On some of the issues of principle between China and Japan, including historical cognition, the Taiwan issue, and the dispute over the cognition of the territorial sovereignty of the Diaoyu Islands, Japan has not made any progress on these issues." Liu Jiangyong said.

　　Kishida’s pain points in Japan-Russia relations were also “stucked” by Kishida.

Earlier, Kishida stated during the parliamentary debate that Japan’s sovereignty includes the "Northern Territory" (Japanese-Russian disputed islands, Russia called the Southern Kuril Islands).

He emphasized that "the territorial issue must be resolved and not be left to future generations."

　　Regarding Kishida’s point of view, the Russian President’s Press Secretary Peskov quickly fought back, calling the archipelago "Russian territory", and Russia has reiterated its political will to continue dialogue with Japan at various levels.

Jabarov, the first vice chairman of the International Affairs Committee of the Russian Federation Council, even pointed out that any "attempt to occupy Russian territory" will be regarded as an "infringement" against Russia.

Data map: In 2015, the then Prime Minister of Russia Dmitry Medvedev landed on an island in the disputed archipelago between Russia and Japan for a work inspection.

　　Last month, two Russian deputy prime ministers visited an island in the Southern Kuril Islands for the first time since they were Japanese prime ministers in Kishida. Japanese media analyzed that this move by Russian politicians was intended to "contain" Kishida.

　　In addition, Japan and South Korea have been unresolved on issues left over from history such as comfort women and workers' compensation. It is expected that Japan-South Korea relations under Kishida will struggle to get out of the trough.

　　However, some analysts believe that during the Kishida campaign, he made some tough remarks on the issue of diplomatic security in order to "please" the conservative forces in the Liberal Democratic Party.

Liu Jiangyong also pointed out that making tough remarks will help Kishida to govern, but in a sense, this is a "vicious circle."

(over)