<Anchor> With the
outlines of the presidential election in March next year, we conducted a poll right after all the candidates for the major political parties were confirmed.
First of all, the support for presidential candidates was found to be within the margin of error of 30% for both Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung and People's Strength candidate Yoon Seok-yeol.
The chances of winning were also close at 40% between the two candidates.
First news, this is reporter Han Se-hyun.
<Reporter>
I asked who they would vote for in the March election next year.
Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung 30.7% and People's Strength candidate Yoon Seok-yeol 34.7%, with a gap of 4 percentage points, within the margin of error.
Justice Party candidate Shim Sang-jeong received 3 percent, People's Party candidate Ahn Cheol-soo 4.9 percent, and former Deputy Prime Minister Kim Dong-yeon 0.9 percent.
Compared to last month's SBS survey, candidate Lee rose by 0.7 percentage points and candidate Yoon by 5.9 percentage points.
Candidate Shim fell 1.2 percentage points, and candidate Ahn rose 1.1 percentage points.
When looking at the support groups of candidates Lee Jae-myung and Yoon Seok-yeol by age, Lee received relatively more support in their 30s and 40s, and Yoon in their 60s and older, and those in their 20s and under and 50s were tight.
By ideological disposition, the conservatives overwhelmingly supported candidate Yoon, while the progressives overwhelmingly supported Lee, but in the middle class, candidate Yoon was 7.5 percentage points higher.
By region, Candidate Lee in Honam and Yoon in Seoul, Chungcheong, Yeongnam, Gangwon, and Jeju had higher approval ratings.
They were also asked who they thought would be the most likely candidate to be elected regardless of their support. Lee Jae-myung 44.4% and Yoon Seok-yeol 40.9% were within the margin of error, while Sim Sang-jeong and Ahn Cheol-soo answered less than 1%.
Unlike the support question, the middle class responded similarly to Lee Jae-myung and Yoon Seok-yeol within the margin of error, and the supporters of Shim Sang-jung and Ahn Cheol-soo saw a higher chance of winning candidate Lee Jae-myung.
Former Deputy Prime Minister Kim Dong-yeon's supporters raised the hand of candidate Yoon Seok-yeol.
(Video coverage: Park Jin-ho, video editing: Kim Jin-won, CG: Jo Su-in)
<Survey Overview>
Investigation Request: SBS
Research Agency: Next Research
Date and Time: November 6-7, 2021
Survey Subject: 1,025 men and women over the age of 18 nationwide (wired RDD and wireless virtual number after gender, age, and region assignment) Extraction)
Survey method: Wired/wireless telephone interview survey (wireless 86%, landline 14%)
Response rate: 21.1% (1,025 people contacted 4,851 people, and 1,025 people succeeded)
Weighting method: Weighted values by gender, age, and region (cell weighted/2021) Based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of October, 2017)
Sample error: ±3.1% points (95% confidence level)
For more information, visit the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee or SBS website.
▶ Go to the poll statistics table
▶ [Public opinion poll] Presidential candidate favorability…
Lee Jae-myung 37.9% Yoon Seok-yeol 43%
▶ [Poll] Regime re-creation 36.4% vs regime change 55.3%