Portugal will hold early elections on January 30

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A Christmas campaign.

This is what awaits the Portuguese who, after the rejection of the Budgets of the Communist Party and the Left Bloc - former partners of Prime Minister

- are called to vote on January 30.

This has been communicated to the country by the president,

, conductor of this political 'impasse' in Portugal, after receiving on Wednesday the "favorable opinion, by majority" of the Council of State on the proposal to dissolve the Assembly and call for elections. The consultation of this body, in which the highest political leaders of the country participate, was the last formality with which the head of state had to comply, who had already listened to the parties and social agents.

Rebelo de Sousa is probably the only figure who comes out of this crisis well. 42% of the Portuguese believe that they have managed the political situation well, according to an Aximage survey for

and radio

In addition, 59% of those surveyed agree with holding early elections, although

. Finally, the majority of those consulted blame the parties of the left (especially the Socialists) for the failure of the Budgets in Parliament.

And, although there is a date to go to the polls, no one dares to guess which party has the best chance of being the winner. "What has happened is a good example of how political strategies generate results that nobody anticipates or wants," explains Patrícia Lisa, an expert in Portuguese politics at the ElCano Royal Institute. "Everyone, political parties and society, believed that the vote of a year ago would be repeated, when the Budgets went ahead. But now a

opens up

that nobody expected," insists Lisa. Rebelo de Sousa himself said it this afternoon: "We live in a period of

politics.

Will we have stable cycles in the near future? ", The president wondered during an economic conference in Lisbon, shortly before addressing the nation.

"Give back the decision to the people"

Communists and the Left Bloc, which had already received a severe setback in the municipal elections of last September, revealed their differences during the parliamentary debate that culminated in the "no" to the Budgets. But

around its leadership, as the conservative Social Democratic Party, which has 79 out of 230 seats, is in the middle of the internal process to choose its candidate for prime minister. In theory, in a primaries called for next December 4, the supporters will have to choose between the current president of the party

and the MEP

While Rangel appeals to democratic plurality, Rio - current leader of the opposition - warns his militants that this may not be the time to hold internal elections.

Rebelo de Sousa, who was criticized for receiving Rangel at the Presidential Palace in Belem in the midst of the budget debate, has repeatedly rejected having taken into account the internal calendar of the right when scheduling the elections and defended that holding early elections was to

It also happens that the Christian Democrats of the CDS are also in the process of electing their president.

And although the party has been losing votes in recent years, it is key to forming alliances that allow the right to govern.

"It may happen that the

explains Patrícia Lisa. "But in the same way, a scenario with a new alliance of the left is also possible," he adds. That is, everything, or almost everything, is uncertain. It seems clear, however, that "the campaign is going to focus on this dichotomy, it is going to be a crossroads of responsibilities between left and right," concludes the analyst.

While Antonio Costa remains at the head of the Government without intention of resigning, the rest of the parties have already gotten into the campaign. In the socialist ranks, the division can be seen between those who bet on repeating the alliance with other 'sister' forces and those opposed to that option. The Minister of Infrastructure,

, a possible candidate to lead the formation when the Costa succession process begins, showed his differences with him. While Costa has claimed "a stable and reinforced majority" of the Socialists, Pedro Nuno defends the 'geringonza' at all costs: "

in the history of Portuguese democracy,

" ,pointed out just a few days ago.

On the other hand, the general secretary of the Communist Party -whose representatives in the Council of State voted against holding early elections, perhaps because they are aware that it will make them lose votes-

, has said that "the socialists want a absolute majority to

which forced the PS, even against its program and its will, to take a set of positive measures. "

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