China News Service, November 1 (Guan Na Gan Tian) On November 1, local time, the results of the 49th House of Representatives election in Japan were announced. The ruling coalition formed by the Liberal Democratic Party and the Civic Party won a total of 293 seats and won the election.

　　Kishida Fumio and his Liberal Democratic Party, who had been in power for less than a month, won 261 seats in the "blitzkrieg" of the election. Although they were slightly less than the 276 seats in the previous Congress, they still have a significant advantage over other parties. obvious.

Data map: Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

Result of Japanese House of Representatives Election Announced

The ruling coalition wins

　　The results of the balloting showed that of the 465 seats in the House of Representatives, the Liberal Democratic Party won 261 seats.

Its ruling coalition party, the Komeito Party, won 32 seats.

　　In terms of opposition parties, the Cadet Party won the most seats, with 96 seats; the Japan Restoration Council (41) and the National Democratic Party (11) ranked second and third.

　　According to statistics from the Japan Broadcasting Association (NHK), as of 19:30 on October 31, local time, the voter turnout for the House of Representatives election was only 34.32%.

A government employee in Ota City, Gunma Prefecture, Japan, is sharpening pencils with all their strength.

Image source: Screenshot of NHK report.

House of Representatives election "blitz"

The Liberal Democratic Party still has obvious advantages

　　Looking back at the election of the House of Representatives, time is tight and tasks are heavy, which is comparable to a "blitzkrieg."

　　It took only 10 days from the establishment of the Kishida cabinet to its dissolution, and only 17 days from the dissolution of the House of Representatives to the voting for the election, both of which set the shortest record since the Second World War.

　　As the polling day was earlier than expected, government employees in Ota City, Gunma Prefecture had to rush to work and sharpen 10,000 pencils for the voters to use.

　　In addition, after World War II, elections to the Japanese House of Representatives were often held in advance, and the elections held after the expiration of the term of office of the members of the House of Representatives had only happened once before during the Miki Takeo cabinet in 1976.

　　At the same time, the opposition parties "hold together for warmth" with strong forces and a clear sense of confrontation.

"Even the Communist Party of Japan, which has not engaged in politics for a long time, is willing to cooperate with the Cadets this time." Liu Jiangyong, a professor in the Department of International Relations at Tsinghua University, pointed out in an interview with Chinanews.com.

　　In contrast, the Liberal Democratic Party only set a small goal before the election-to win the election if the total votes with the Komeito Party reached half, "the pre-adjustment is very low."

However, judging from the results, the Liberal Democratic Party still maintains a clear advantage.

Data map: Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

Internal and external troubles

Can Kishida break the curse of "short-lived prime minister"?

　　The current election to the House of Representatives also exposed the "weak" characteristics of the Kishida regime.

　　Wang Xinsheng, a professor in the Department of History at Peking University, further pointed out that Japan seems to have formed a situation where "the party is high and the government is low."

From the selection of cabinet members, it can be seen that "Kishida is selected as the president of the Democratic Party, obviously under the control of Shinzo Abe and Taro Aso."

　　The election to the House of Representatives may cause a further blow to Kishida's prestige.

There may be voices in the Liberal Democratic Party that advocate ousting it before the 2022 Senate election.

　　Coupled with the various problems left over by the predecessors, the Japanese people and the opposition parties are deeply dissatisfied with the Yoshihide Suga regime's ineffective epidemic prevention, "Abenomics" has failed, and the gap between the rich and the poor has intensified.

　　Under the attack of "internal and external troubles", people can't help but wonder whether Kishida will become another "short-lived prime minister"?

Data map: On August 16, local time, Tokyo Dome Stadium in Japan became the new crown vaccination center, and people came to get vaccinated in an orderly manner.

　Continuing the Abe route

　　Do moderate "doves" turn hardline "hawks"?

　　As the House of Representatives election ends, what other tests will Kishida face next?

What are the possible changes in its internal affairs and diplomacy?

　　The economy and the epidemic are expected to remain the focus.

Although the epidemic in Japan has slowed down, it has not yet been fully controlled.

The Kishida government's anti-epidemic approach of "coexisting with the new crown" will be successful, and it will be tested this winter and next spring.

　　On the other hand, Kishida's push for a more fair and reasonable "new capitalism" was met with cold reception.

Critics believe that "changing the soup without changing the medicine" has not changed much from "Abenomics."

It remains to be seen how much support this "economic card" can receive in the future and what effect it will exert.

　　In terms of foreign policy, Kishida, who has been following a moderate "dovish" line, has successively announced "hawkish" policies after he took office. Recently, he has made many tough remarks against China, supporting the strengthening of the US-Japan alliance, and advocating "no concessions to China." ".

　　In this regard, Liu Jiangyong pointed out that Kishida adopted a “multilateral military deterrence policy” and “has implemented the Abe line as it was.” However, as relations between China and the United States and other major powers have changed compared with before, “Japan has moved on to a tougher side. , It is actually difficult."

　　Kishida has also expressed on many occasions that he will strive to promote the constitutional amendment process and said that he hopes to achieve the goal during his tenure.

Taking into account the allocation of seats between the Senate and the House of Representatives, Liu Jiangyong believes that it is not easy for Kishida to promote constitutional amendment.

In addition, the Liberal Democratic Party has different opinions on the specific draft amendment, and many opposition parties are cautious, which is expected to play a certain restrictive role.

(over)