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23 October 2021

The early exit from work with Quota 102 in 2022 and 2023 and the transition to Quota 104 in 2024. Or a more gradual mechanism, with Quota 102 in 2022, Quota 103 in 2023, Quota 104 in 2024. government simulations are in progress in these hours.

We try to find an agreement in the majority and with the unions on the "gradual" mechanism for returning to the ordinary retirement system provided for by the Fornero law.

A mix of measures is being examined to protect the most fragile categories. Treats the League, willing to compromise. And it deals with Draghi, in search of the most sustainable and effective solution. With two very specific stakes, however: we must move away from the quota system, repeatedly rejected by Europe too, and not make the resources currently foreseen for pensions in the budget law rise too much, with only 600 million in 2022.

The Prime Minister from Brussels stops any temptation of Matteo Salvini to up the ante, asking to keep 100 at least for some categories. "I did not agree" with that measure, he says succinctly. But on the table of the Council of Ministers on the Draft Budgetary Plan, on Tuesday, the Economy Minister Daniele Franco put a proposal around which we will work from now to next week (the CDM on the maneuver could be held on Tuesday 26). There are those who call it "Franco's cage", as if to say that one cannot go much beyond the indicated perimeter. For now the confrontation is on a technical level, then a conversation between Draghi and Salvini (the Northern League is expecting it) and a new government control room (a meeting with the unions is also possible,who are very opposed to the quota mechanism) should pull the strings at the beginning of the week.

The solutions


Among the options under consideration by the Ministry of Economy is the mix of the three "quotas" 102, 103 and 104. With the addition of a strengthening, on which the Pd is strong, Ape social for heavy work at categories identified by the Damiano commission. At the moment, the intention remains not to renew the Woman Option, the flexibility instrument for female workers, but it is not certain that it will be restored to remedy the fact that quotas penalize women. In the auspices of the Dems, there would also be the hypothesis of completely abandoning the quota system, perhaps marrying the Tridico proposal to leave at 63 years of age with the minimum contribution calculated according to actuarial criteria, and then arrive at full retirement at 67. But this does not seem the idea of ​​the League.Who for Salvini is negotiating at the technical tables in these hours, would be proposing a share of 102 for at least two years, with exit at 64 years of age and 38 of contributions. And in addition a mix of measures that could range from the extension of the expansion contract - which also encourages generational turnover - for small companies under 100 employees, to greater flexibility for some categories, such as precocious workers and blue-collar workers. On all these measures, however, cost simulations are underway, since the public finance constraint remains for the government.extension of the expansion contract - which also encourages generational turnover - for small companies under 100 employees, to greater flexibility for some categories, such as precocious workers and blue-collar workers. On all these measures, however, cost simulations are underway, since the public finance constraint remains for the government.extension of the expansion contract - which also encourages generational turnover - for small companies under 100 employees, to greater flexibility for some categories, such as precocious workers and blue-collar workers. On all these measures, however, cost simulations are underway, since the public finance constraint remains for the government.

Meanwhile, the pressing of the parties continues to extend the Superbonus at least until the end of 2023 also to the villas, but the costs of the measure would be very high. And the Democratic Party insists on the facades bonus, currently excluded from the maneuver but which could return with a percentage of 70%, no longer 90%.

The other great chapter still open in the maneuver is that of taxes: how to use the 8 billion allocated in the maneuver. The issue is so thorny that the hypothesis circulates that for now the resources are destined to a special fund and then intervenes during the parliamentary examination of the budget law to define with an amendment what will be the destination from January 2022. The discussion it is like modulating the cut in labor costs on the side of businesses and on the side of workers. We would be thinking about the cut in contributions for workers, about the extension of the Irpef bonus which today is 100 euros or about the cut in the third bracket (but in addition to being very expensive, it would help - argue from the left - especially the richest) .

For companies, a reduction (not cancellation) of the IRAP could arrive.

While, with the arrival of the single allowance, the contribution to the Single Family Checks Fund (Cuaf) should be canceled, approximately 1.7 billion paid today by employers, including families in the case of home helps and carers.