• Coronavirus, 40 thousand new cases in Great Britain for the fourth consecutive day

  • Iss: slight increase in RT to 0.86, incidence of Covid cases stops at 29

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October 22, 2021It is early to reach conclusions, but the concern is there: the resurgence of the virus that has been taking place in Great Britain in the last few weeks (with more than 50,000 infections a day) could be a phenomenon that shows us what can happen in Italy: this is the opinion of

Fabrizio Pregliasco

, virologist of the University of Milan, commenting on the latest weekly monitoring of the Higher Institute of Health: "The fear is that, even

with a worsening of the weather conditions, we will arrive at what seen in England

". The scientist is struck by the slight rise in the national RT to 0.86, and the incidence, which rose to 34 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants. Still early to make predictions, but it is a trend that must be kept low, compared to a natural increase in cases.



Why is this slight decrease in infected


According Pregliasco the major cause of this rise is to be charged to different elements together: first the openings, then a vaccination that went very well but then had a slowdown, and especially "this great freedom which is the one that affects the most, because it accumulates a large amount of contacts. "The alert, the alarm signal, according to the virologist is when the incidence will exceed the threshold of 50 cases per 100 thousand - as per the safety protocols established by the ISS - but "

it is better to anticipate the measures

than to wait to be in an emergency. "



The importance of the third dose


The solution to avoid being as in the English scenario is to focus on the third dose:" At this point, we must also consider a revaccination of the youngest , those under 60, 6 months after the second dose ". 



Sileri:" Do you get infected in the UK? The difference is made by the Green Pass "


And on the subject, the interview to" A sheep's day ", on Rai Radio 1 by Undersecretary of Health Pierpaolo Sileri:" I believe that an increase in cases will take place throughout Europe, but I don't think so as significant as in the UK. We have one more thing: the Green pass ".


According to Sileri, the green certificate is also an excellent diagnostic tool, because those who do not get vaccinated swabs: the large increase in swabs brings out the submerged positive otherwise not tracked.

The result is a low circulation of the virus: "Here is the difference between us and the UK".