When party secretary Gunnar Strömmer talks about the Moderates' situation before the election, he paints the picture of a party with great opportunities.

Everything else would of course be a misdemeanor by a party secretary.

Still, it is a feeling that seems to permeate the party's general meeting that is currently taking place in Helsingborg and that will carve out the policy the party will go to the polls for next year.

The situation in voter opinion is like this eleven months before the election completely even, in practice there is a deadlock between the government alternatives.

Many of the issues that dominate the public debate are also assumed to benefit the opposition, such as crime, immigration and energy supply.

Only Muf questions

The moderates have also risen from a difficult identity crisis after the break-up of the Reinfeldt era.

Now it is conservative rather than liberal values ​​that characterize the party's message.

And most in the party seem to agree.

Immigration and lack of integration explain most things from widening gaps and high unemployment to widespread gang crime.

The political answers are limitation of grants, more police and a more repressive legal system.

Tougher punishments and increased powers for the police may constitute an infringement of personal integrity, but are necessary to ensure the safety of citizens, according to the party leadership and only the youth union Muf seems to question parts of the message.

Agreement in SD position

After the 2018 election, the Moderates have also purposefully approached the Sweden Democrats more and more.

This is receiving a lot of attention in the media and in the political debate, but no longer seems to be a major deal within the party.

Either because the critics have left the Moderates or now they are keeping quiet.

For the party leadership, it is about parliamentary realities.

A party that wants to return to government power must secure sufficient support.

And the mathematics is clear: without the support of or cooperation with the Sweden Democrats, Ulf Kristersson can give up all attempts to become prime minister.

And should he fail to do so again in 2022, he will learn to look around for a new job.

It is difficult to imagine that a party like the Moderates is prepared to give a party leader another chance.

So a lot is at stake, both for the Moderates and for Ulf Kristersson.

Wants to conquer from S and C

However, the SD issue is likely to continue to persecute the party's representatives.

And that is something that could damage the Moderates' ambition to attract new voters in next year's election.

The party's strategists believe that there is a chance of conquering dissatisfied voters from both the Social Democrats and the Center Party.

A tough criminal policy, a tight immigration policy and a climate policy that is very much about nuclear power and safeguarding the competitiveness of business and industry are the messages that will lead there.

Whether that is enough remains to be seen.

Party secretary Gunnar Strömmer talks about the Moderates having a chance to attract 150,000 S voters next year.

But here, then, the rapprochement with the Sweden Democrats can put the brakes on.

Because even though these voters may be prepared to skip the traditional bloc border, many of them are probably skeptical of giving the Sweden Democrats increased political influence, which the Moderates want.