Earlier this month, the Chinese military is activating military activities with Taiwan in mind, including the entry of a large number of fighters into the air defense identification zone set by Taiwan.

In response, the United States has emphasized its support for strengthening Taiwan's defense capabilities, and the conflict between the United States and China in the security field is intensifying.

On the 4th and 1st of this month, a total of 56 Chinese military aircraft entered the air defense identification zone set by Taiwan off the southwest coast.



Although it has decreased since then, a total of 157 Chinese military aircraft have entered this month.

In addition, Chinese military operations have been intensified, with Chinese state media releasing a video of training that appears to have envisioned a landing operation in Taiwan last week.



In response, Pentagon spokesman Kirby said on Wednesday, "We have a lasting interest in the peace and stability of the Straits of Taiwan. We will continue to support Taiwan with sufficient capacity for self-defense. ", And restrained.



On the 2nd and 3rd of this month, the U.S. Navy conducted training in the waters southwest of Okinawa in collaboration with five countries including Japan, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands, in which ships including three aircraft carriers participated. Until now, we conducted joint training with ships from Japan, India, and Australia.



All of them seem to be aimed at strengthening cooperation with allies with China in mind, and the conflict between the United States and China in terms of security is intensifying.

Taiwanese expert "There is a high possibility of unforeseen circumstances"

Regarding the invasion of Chinese military aircraft one after another this month, Taiwanese military expert Mr. Tanaka said, "Usually there is an annual training plan, and it is unlikely that such a large-scale one will be carried out on an extraordinary basis. It cannot be ruled out that the training was conducted during the consecutive holidays of the festival, "he said, pointing out the possibility that it was an appeal for the domestic market aimed at raising national prestige.



Also, although China, which was dissatisfied with the US Biden administration's internationalization of the Taiwan issue, may have given a political sign, the focus was on military purposes rather than political purposes. He said, "Isn't it training to sortie out continuously for a long time?"



Regarding the approach of an unprecedented scale, "In the past year, the number of deployments of the Chinese army's main fighter, the Yin 16, has increased, and the ability of multiple units to jointly operate and the pilot's night flight skill have improved. You can see that it is. "



He added, "If the flight of a large number of fighters becomes normal, the burden on the Taiwan Air Force, which is on alert, will increase, and the possibility of unforeseen circumstances will increase."

US expert "The possibility of invasion of Taiwan is increasing over time"

Ian Easton, an American think tank researcher who is familiar with the trends of the Chinese military, said in an interview with NHK that this month's successive invasion of Chinese military aircraft into Taiwan's air defense identification zone envisioned a military operation in Taiwan. He said that the possibility of Chinese troops invading Taiwan would increase in the future.



In this, Mr. Easton pointed out that Chinese fighters and bombers entered not only during the day but also at midnight. "This approach is unprecedented, with future military operations against Taiwan in mind. It was a simulation I put down. "



"It is clear that this approach was planned for months in the light of the past training of the Chinese military," he said. He said that joint training by ships from six countries, including aircraft carriers, is not directly related.



"The southwestern part of Taiwan is the airspace normally used by Taiwanese military aircraft for training, and the Chinese military's activities here also have the effect of diminishing Taiwan's surveillance and activity capabilities," he analyzed. bottom.



On top of that, Mr. Easton said, "The possibility of invasion actually exists, over time," regarding the possibility of invading Taiwan, keeping in mind the analysis that China is deploying nuclear submarines and missile destroyers one after another. The military balance is rapidly breaking down and China is becoming dominant, and the deterrence of the United States, Japan, and Taiwan itself is not sufficient. " He pointed out that it is necessary to strengthen and respond.