After its allies challenged the election results,
Iran and its loyal groups are the biggest losers in the Iraqi elections
Supporters of the Sadrist movement celebrate the victory of their party in the parliamentary elections.
dad
Counting votes manually in a center in Baghdad.
dad
Protests organized by groups rejecting the preliminary results.
AFP
picture
Pending the announcement of the final results of the parliamentary elections that were held on the tenth of this month, the Iraqi political arena is witnessing a great momentum, and efforts from different political spectrums, to form the largest bloc, and control the management of affairs in the country, amid convictions that the official results will not differ much from those The primary announced by the Electoral Commission the day after polling day.
Various political forces send messages and signals within the framework of what is known as the post-election ties, and of course it is not without strong messages from external directions as well. In light of the results that this entitlement resulted in, which were not surprising in the Sunni and Kurdish arenas, but it was an earthquake in the Shiite camp. The Sadrist movement, led by Muqtada al-Sadr, won 73 seats, compared to 54 in the previous parliament, while the Al-Fateh Alliance retreated, Which was considered the strongest competitor of the Sadrist movement, by and large, to get 14 seats, after it held about 50 seats in the 2018 elections, and the same for the Alliance of National State Forces led by the head of the Wisdom Movement, Ammar al-Hakim, and former Prime Minister, Haider al-Abadi, who It won only four seats, two seats each, bearing in mind that the Al-Hikma Movement had 16 seats, and Al-Abadi had almost the same number.
Behind the Sadrist movement, comes the State of Law coalition, led by former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, which raised the number of its seats in parliament in these elections, from 25 to 37, which means that Sadr and al-Maliki are the ones who won the lead in the Shiite arena.
Hence, talk about the form of the next government, whose head is traditionally a Shiite, is gaining momentum day after day.
Through the announced results, there are three Shiite political alliances or blocs, whose role will be pivotal in determining the next paths, namely the Sadrist movement, the State of Law coalition, and the Al-Fateh coalition.
Observers believe that the Sadrist movement's first place does not mean that the road ahead will be paved, as it needs to reach consensus with its partners in the Shiite component, before engaging in its consultations with the Sunni and Kurdish camps.
Although the Sadrist movement formed a committee that began a negotiating process with the elites and political blocs, with the aim of forming the next government, some statements that come out from time to time from here and there, and subsequent reactions regarding the form of the government, may shed light on the difficulty of the task.
Analysts believe that the accumulation of tensions and disagreements between Sadr and Maliki over the past 15 years, and the sharp state of polarization fueled by some influential external forces in Iraq, such as Iran, as well as the dispersal of part of the Shiite share in the next parliament between small blocs and independent deputies, will witness a certain stage. After the elections, there is a lot of confusion in the Shiite house, and then the process of deciding the candidate to head the next government will face great difficulties.
Observers warn of the danger of the Shiite division, in light of external interventions.
The American Foreign Policy magazine described Iran and its loyal groups as the biggest loser in the Iraqi elections.
Here comes the pro-Iranian groups waving to reject the election results, and even threaten to resort to violence, according to "Foreign Policy".
The American magazine said: The atmosphere in Iraq is still turbulent, as the news of the arrival of the Iranian Quds Force commander, Ismail Qaani, to Iraq supported rumors that Iran and its proxies will manipulate the outcome.
As the leader of the party with the majority of seats, al-Sadr is supposed to choose who will form the new government, but in the absence of a majority, he will have to form a coalition, perhaps drawing its outlines or the foundations on which it will be based, in a televised speech after the announcement of the preliminary results.
Al-Sadr made fighting corruption and dismantling militias a top priority, saying: From now on, weapons will be limited to state control alone.
He also made a reference to the United States and other powers, saying that foreign embassies would be welcome in Iraq as long as they did not interfere in the country's internal affairs.
Many fear that the armed militias will translate al-Sadr's statements in their own way, and that Iraq will be on a date with a new round of violence, which may bring down any hopes in a country that wants to enjoy even a small measure of stability.
Through the announced results, there are 3 Shiite political alliances or blocs, whose role will be pivotal in determining the next paths, namely the Sadrist movement, the State of Law coalition, and the Al-Fateh coalition.
• The atmosphere in Iraq is still turbulent, as news of the arrival of the Iranian Quds Force commander, Ismail Qaani, to Iraq has supported rumors that Iran and its proxies will manipulate the outcome.
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