Households do not have to worry much about an even higher energy bill due to a severe winter on top of the sharply increased gas prices, Weerplaza tells NU.nl.
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According to Weerplaza meteorologist Wilfred Janssen, a severe winter is seven times less frequent than in the middle of the last century.
The seasonal calculations also tend towards a slightly less severe winter than normal.
European gas prices rose to record levels on Wednesday.
The price rose 60 percent in two days due to continued strong demand, limited supply in the gas market and the expectation of colder weather in the northern hemisphere.
During the heating season, gas consumption depends on the outside temperature.
The lower the temperature, the higher the heating costs to achieve the same indoor temperature.
In the middle of the last century, the average temperature of the heating season was 5.1 degrees.
Today it is already 6.6 degrees, according to Weerplaza.
According to the company that provides weather information, that saves a lot in the wallet.
"The chance of a cold heating season is small", Janssen tries to reassure households.
According to the meteorologist, this is especially true compared to the middle of the last century.
Global warming plays a role in this, according to the meteorologist.
See also: Gas prices continue to break records: why and what can we do about it?
30 percent more gas consumption during an extremely cold heating season
Should the Netherlands have to deal with the lowest temperatures since the start of the measurements this heating season, households will have to count on 30 percent more consumption to heat the house, says Janssen.
An extremely mild heating season, such as in 2007, again results in approximately 20 percent less consumption.
A very cold heating season now occurs once every thirty years.
That happened seven times as often in the last century.
Statistically speaking, the chance of a very cold heating season is therefore small, explains Janssen.
"The chance of an extremely mild heating season is actually greater. "That is now about seven to ten times more common than in the middle of the last century," says Janssen.
"Even if we take the most recently severe winter of 2013, we are nowhere near the 30 percent more heating costs," says Janssen.
The meteorologist calls 30 percent more heating costs an "extreme scenario".Keywords: