Uncertainty reigns in Germany.

Above all, the disavowal is great for the politics of Angela Merkel.

The country entered into difficult negotiations on Sunday evening to form the next government following the legislative elections.

Both the Social Democrats, short-headed victors, and the conservatives claim the leadership of Europe's largest economy.

According to the first provisional official results released Monday morning on the website of the electoral commission, the center-left of the SPD and their leader Olaf Scholz won 25.7% of the vote, slightly ahead of the conservative union CDU-CSU d 'Armin Laschet, who has a historically low score of 24.1%.

The Conservatives had never fallen below the 30% threshold.

It is therefore a stinging setback for Angela Merkel's camp at the time when she must retire from politics.

"The poker game begins"

Beyond that, everything remains to be done in the country. Because in Germany it is not the voters who directly elect the chancellor but the deputies. And a majority is this time particularly complicated to constitute because it must bring together three parties - never seen since the 1950s - due to a crumbling of votes. "The game of poker begins," says the magazine

Der Spiegel

. Because “after the vote, the essential questions remain open: who will be chancellor? Which coalition will govern the country in the future, ”he points out.

For the Social Democrats, things are clear: "What is certain is that many citizens" voted SPD because "they want a change of government and also because they want the next chancellor to be called Olaf Scholz, ”said the 63-year-old man.

The problem: his center-right rival, despite a "disappointing" result, is unwilling to join the opposition benches: "We will do all we can to build a government led by the Union" CDU -CSU, assured the Christian Democratic candidate.

Everyone's goal: a government before Christmas

Both the SPD and the center-right have said they are aiming for a conclusion before Christmas.

Will they succeed?

In the current configuration, several solutions are possible for a majority in the Bundestag.

The SPD could thus ally with the Greens, which came third in the poll with 14.8%, and the liberals of the FDP, a right-wing party which collected 11.5%.

Alternatively, it is the conservatives who could govern with the Greens and the FDP.

According to a Yougov poll published overnight Sunday to Monday, a majority of voters favor the first option.

And 43% of them believe that Olaf Scholz must become the next chancellor of Europe's largest economy.

Everything will therefore depend on the goodwill of two small parties, qualified Monday by the daily

Bild

as "kingmakers".

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