The light "boat" has passed the ten thousand mountains.
On the evening of September 25, Beijing time, after being arbitrarily detained for 1028 days, Ms. Meng Wanzhou returned to the motherland on a chartered plane by the Chinese government.
Three years ago, the United States brazenly launched a trade war, sanctioned Huawei and other Chinese technology companies, and extended its long-arm jurisdiction to Meng Wanzhou.
Three years later, Meng Wanzhou returned safely.
On the same day, the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce released the list of China's top 500 private enterprises in 2021, and Huawei ranked first for 6 consecutive years.
Almost at the same time, the US Department of Commerce, which put Huawei on the list of entities, released the news that it was seeking to improve its business relations with China and that it intends to lead a delegation to China to seek business opportunities.
In the arduous struggle that lasted for three years, we have always stood on the right side of history.
China is still that China, but the United States has proved through practical actions that containing China is no longer effective.
When Meng Wanzhou returned to China, Western public opinion was amazed.
Master Tan, in conjunction with GTCOM, a professional organization, used big data and knowledge spectrum technology to analyze the reports involving the term "meng wanzhou" from January 2018 to September 2021, with a total of 208,746 reports.
The results showed that before Meng Wanzhou's return, the global media's positive sentiment towards this incident accounted for only 5%.
In other words, global public opinion is not optimistic about the outcome of the Meng Wanzhou case.
Just one month ago, the Canadian court heard the extradition case of Meng Wanzhou entered the final stage.
Foreign media made a pre-judgment after understanding the past data on the outcome of the Canadian case. The probability of Meng Wanzhou's extradition being revoked is only 1%.
Lawyer Shen Qian, who has been following the Meng Wanzhou case for a long time, told Master Tan:
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From 2008 to 2018, out of nearly 800 extradition applications in the United States, only 8 extraditions were eventually rejected or cancelled by Canada.
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The results today are really rare.
According to the "script" of Western public opinion, if Meng Wanzhou is released, there must be a prerequisite.
After all, half a year ago, the American media released similar news, saying:
The U.S. Department of Justice is negotiating with Meng Wanzhou’s lawyers. As long as Meng Wanzhou pleads guilty, the U.S. Department of Justice can delay the prosecution or not.
I was so accustomed to committing crimes that at the very beginning, the Canadian and American media reported on Meng Wanzhou’s return to China that Meng Wanzhou pleaded guilty and submitted a huge fine.
It turned out later that these reports were smashed, and Western media could only use "corrections" to cover up their embarrassment.
Some Western media take this for granted, and they are accustomed to the hegemonic behavior of the United States, interacting with other countries from the position of "strength".
The deferred prosecution agreement reached by the U.S. Department of Justice and Meng Wanzhou is a form of out-of-court settlement. The U.S. Department of Justice agreed that the defense can conditionally avoid prosecution or be taken coercive measures after signing the deferred prosecution agreement.
The game of "confessing guilt and exchanging freedom" did not repeat itself in the Chinese citizen Meng Wanzhou.
America, why has it changed?
You know, as far as the United States is concerned, everything that can be unreasonable must be unreasonable. If it is a little reasonable, it will be forced.
According to the analysis of Professor Wang Yong from the School of International Relations at Peking University, Meng Wanzhou's release and return to China are due to China's strong diplomatic strength.
Master Tan noticed a few details.
Just a few days before Meng Wanzhou’s release, the Chinese representative also urged Canada at the 48th session of the UN Human Rights Council to immediately correct its mistakes and lift Meng Wanzhou’s arbitrary detention.
As early as 2018, shortly after Meng Wanzhou was arbitrarily detained, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China urgently summoned the US ambassador to China and the Canadian ambassador to China. The Chinese side left the same word on both occasions: the nature is extremely bad.
Before returning from Vancouver this time, the relevant personnel of the Chinese Embassy in Canada went to the airport to see Meng Wanzhou off, and the Chinese Ambassador to Canada returned home.
Meng Wanzhou's return to China is not only the result of the efforts of Chinese diplomats, but also because of China and the Chinese people behind them.
In July of this year, US Deputy Secretary of State Sherman visited China. China issued two lists and released Meng Wanzhou, which became one of the 26 issues that China listed to the United States face to face that needed to be resolved. This is in the history of Sino-US exchanges. This is the first time that China's strength and cohesiveness continue to increase.
In the final analysis, relying on the so-called "strength" to suppress sanctions does not work in China today, and the United States can only return to a reasonable track.
Momentary strength lies in strength, and victory or defeat lies in reason.
The United States seems to be making the final struggle.
In the title of the US Department of Justice announcement, the word "Misleading" was used, claiming that Meng Wanzhou "admitted" her to "misleading" global financial institutions.
Attorney Shen Qian, who has been following the Meng Wanzhou case for a long time, carefully read the statement of the US Department of Justice and found that what Meng Wanzhou admitted was the facts stated in the court before, and there was no guilty plea in it.
The United States wants to give itself a step down.
In 1028 days, until the last minute, the United States still wanted to label Meng Wanzhou as "guilty". Such a trick was planned as early as 3 years ago when the United States launched a trade war.
In June 2018, the then US Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross stated in an interview that he had not found any violations by Huawei.
But six months later, the United States secretly asked Canada to arrest Meng Wanzhou.
More than a month after the illegal seizure of Meng Wanzhou, the US Department of Justice announced that Huawei and Meng Wanzhou were charged with the main charges including bank and wire fraud, obstruction of justice, and theft of commercial secrets.
At the press conference announcing the prosecution of Meng Wanzhou, Wilbur Rose was on the list.
Why did the change happen so fast?
The words of the then U.S. President Trump pointed out the mystery behind it:
If it is conducive to national security interests or can promote a trade agreement between China and the United States, he is willing to intervene in the Justice Department's case against Meng Wanzhou.
Obviously, the Meng Wanzhou case was essentially a political manipulation, not a judicial case.
While constantly mentioning extradition, the logic behind the actions of the US government has become clearer:
In May 2019, the Trump administration included Huawei on the Entity List and restricted US companies from supplying Huawei.
Since then, in May 2020, August 2020, and April 2021, the United States has escalated its sanctions on Huawei three times.
Step by step, the United States is trying to suppress Chinese technology companies.
However, things backfired. In 2020, Huawei's total revenue increased by 11.2% and profits increased by 10.4%-the United States did not succeed in suppressing Chinese companies through sanctions.
On the same day Meng Wanzhou returned to China, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimundo stated in an interview with The Wall Street Journal that she would seek to improve the business relationship between the United States and China.
From sanctions to active engagement, it seems that the US approach is changing.
In fact, this is exactly what the Biden administration wants to do, to build a more responsible American image.
Compared with the previous government's frequent retreat and frequent sanctions, cooperation has become the "mantra" of the current US government.
At almost the same time when Meng Wanzhou returned to China, Biden hosted the first “face-to-face summit” of leaders of the “quartet security dialogue” mechanism at the White House. The theme happened to be “scientific research cooperation and exchanges”.
But the background color of "cooperation" is still confrontation.
The "Washington Post" report mentioned that although the leaders of the four countries did not mention China in their public speeches at the meeting, China was still the background voice of this meeting.
The United States has always wanted to play the role of rule maker.
Previously, she starred in a naked character, but now I want to put on a layer of disguise.
But in essence, it has always been a rule-breaker, and the referee of international rules, from beginning to end, should not be the United States.
The world must be fair, not overbearing.
As soon as Meng Wanzhou returned to China, the US media also began to release positive signals in the headline of the report, which "may eliminate a point of friction between China and the United States."
However, the game between China and the United States is not about gains and losses at a time.
After the past three years of dealings, China has become more and more aware of the way the United States has taken and the nature of the United States' containment of China's development.
Professor Li Haidong of China Foreign Affairs University told Master Tan:
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The theme of China’s emphasis on mutual respect, mutual benefit and win-win situation has not changed over the years, but it has a more head-on style in its diplomatic understanding and actions. For example, it clearly puts forward three bottom lines and two lists, resolutely defends China’s position, and urges the United States to make decisions that are consistent with the long-term perspective. Decision of interest.
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The release of Meng Wanzhou is not unrelated to the change in China's diplomatic style.
Behind this change is the reversal of the east wind and the west wind, and the change of time and situation.
Looking at the two countries themselves, on September 23, local time, a recent poll conducted by the Pew Research Center in the United States showed that only 44% of American adults approve of the work performance of US President Biden.
Since April, Americans’ confidence in the leaders of the Democratic Congress has fallen by 11 percentage points.
In contrast, according to a poll conducted in China by the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University for 10 consecutive years, the Chinese people’s satisfaction with the Chinese Communist Party’s governance has remained above 90% every year.
If you look farther, the trade war has not stopped during the two administrations of the United States, but until now, the goal that the United States originally hoped to achieve has not been achieved.
Li Haidong told Master Tan:
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The trade war has lost too much of the United States, one of which is credibility.
The United States hopes that American companies will hire Americans to buy American goods and improve American employment and income, but now the gap between the rich and the poor in the United States has increased, and the unemployment rate has risen; the United States hopes to contain the Chinese economy and decouple from China, but the trade volume between China and the United States does not fall but increases. .
In dollar terms, the volume of bilateral trade in goods between China and the United States increased by 40% year-on-year in the first seven months of this year.
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The purpose of the suppression was not achieved. After three years, the original intention to reduce the trade deficit was not achieved. According to the data of the US Department of Commerce, the US trade deficit expanded by 6.7% month-on-month in June to a record level of 75.7 billion U.S. dollars.
The splash caused by the United States has not disturbed the sea of China's economy. The epidemic of the century has once again highlighted the stability and long-term development of China's giant ship.
China is not only the country with the fastest recovery after the epidemic, but also the country that has provided the most vaccines in the world.
In contrast, the United States is the country that hoards the most vaccines in the world, and it is also the country with the largest number of confirmed cases and deaths of new coronary pneumonia in the world.
The one who is alone does not understand it, and the one who takes care of one's own life will take another step.
According to Li Haidong's words:
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China's diplomatic philosophy is to benefit all parties, while the American diplomatic philosophy is to mess up the world.
Looking at future trends, China’s diplomatic philosophy has shown vitality beyond the times. It can not only show China’s own culture and interest demands, but also meet the needs of close integration and development of countries around the world.
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Looking back at the Meng Wanzhou incident, we can better understand what is meant by historical trends.
No matter how many faces the United States can change, China's belief in taking its own path has become stronger and the historical process of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation has become irreversible.
At the 2021 Zhongguancun Forum two days ago, President Xi Jinping mentioned in his speech that the words "accelerating the evolution of the world's major changes unseen in a century" and "accelerating the evolution" are meaningful.
The implications are already obvious.
The general trend of the world is mighty.
Those who obey prosper, those who oppose perish.
Source: Yuyuan Tan Tian