The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is sounding the alarm

Global average temperature has risen 1.1 degrees since the industrial revolution

• The largest fire disaster in the state of Indiana in America.

  .From the source

• Republican Representative Debbie Dingell speaks about climate change during a press conference outside the Capitol in Washington.

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  AFP

• The heaviest floods sweeping Germany due to climate change.

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  From the source

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Heat waves that cause high temperatures lasting for days are becoming more frequent, and in some regions, especially vulnerable regions, such as the Arctic, warming is increasing faster than anywhere else in the world. These higher temperatures have a continuum of effects: a shifting jet stream, more severe drought, and even an increase in precipitation, to name a few.

The Wild West

Nowhere is the nascent climate crisis more evident than in the American West, where extreme drought and heat have led to life-threatening conditions. In the United States, average global temperatures have risen by 1.1 degrees Celsius since the Industrial Revolution, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. , but this seemingly small number obscures the huge and immediate rise in temperatures in certain places.

The IPCC report is based on research conducted by 234 authors, who contributed more than 14,000 studies and references, and covers all the shifts that occur in the environment, from the way water is used to the level of moisture in the soil, where heat remains the basis of all these changes.

Any of these cascading effects can cause serious problems if they happen on their own, and when several effects occur simultaneously, the outcome is compounded, and this is what is happening now in the western United States, where the population is facing what the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has called A “high-risk compound event” in the western United States this year has evaporated water supplies for farmers and ranchers, not to mention local communities. States have reported hundreds of deaths, as people without air conditioning collapse in uncontrollable temperatures, and the heat dries up forests, causing fires.

Worst fire season ever

"It's a combination of heat waves and drought conditions, as well as wind conditions that allow fires to spread," says Paula Andreas Arias Gómez, co-author of the IPCC studies and associate professor at the School of Environment at the University of Antioquia in Colombia.

This has led to record numbers of fires, and while California experienced its worst fire season last year, this year, the state experienced nearly three times more areas burned than at the same time in 2020. The

American West is not alone in experiencing severe weather hardship, for the time. First, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change this year presented a comprehensive analysis of climate change at the regional level, and according to the report, every region on the planet has already been hit by warming in one form or another.

In places where people are already facing a difficult climate situation, the scale of the changing climate reality is beginning to become noticeable. At the air-conditioned Oregon Convention Center in Portland, 71-year-old Dennis Henry told TIME he would consider moving to another state if heat waves became regular. Henry had taken refuge in the boardroom temporarily, saying, “If the situation becomes extreme instead of quasi-normal, no, I will not be here,” but at the same time, he says, “I can't plan where to go, because I don't know what it will be like.” ».

Policy makers from around the world are now preparing for talks about global climate conditions aimed at putting the world on track for temperatures to rise no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius by the end of the century. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: “It is a starting point, for those who really think this is a crisis,” but the stories of those on the ground who have already lost their homes, livelihoods and loved ones must also be based.

Less optimistic situation in the world

Three years ago, the United Nations Climate Sciences body issued a landmark report warning that the planet is on course to exceed previous efforts to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, the threshold that the United Nations warned Although it will cause catastrophic and irreversible effects of climate change, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emphasized in the same report that many paths remain open for us to reduce this damage, if we act immediately.

On August 9 this year, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change published a new document with a much less optimistic framework, in which the group says that the path to limiting temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius has narrowed, and it has identified only one plausible scenario to achieve this goal, A scenario that required an extraordinary level of work, and even then the group offered no guarantee.

"Many of the most dangerous impacts can still be avoided," says Coe Barrett, deputy chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. "But it really requires unprecedented transformational change, rapid and immediate reduction in greenhouse gas emissions."

Frustrating

Reports Reports like this can actually be very frustrating, but they probably should be. The report is the first in a series that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change plans to release, in the coming months, as part of its Sixth Assessment Report. Humans are wreaking havoc on the planet, from the way water circulates across the planet to the melting of permafrost.

But the report also provides a reminder — in the words of the chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and professor of the economics of climate change, energy and sustainable development at Korea University, Hosung Lee — that “every part of warming matters,” and no matter how bad things get, policymakers and companies can Individuals will avoid making the situation worse by taking urgent action.

The list of changes that make up this broader reality is long, to name a few. The report revealed that human-caused warming could already cause sea levels to rise by one foot by 2050, and it also shows that every region on Earth is already experiencing some type of weather. The climate is extreme, with some regions experiencing more intense heat waves, while others experience unfamiliar storms and unprecedented levels of precipitation.

Real stories about climate change

The Pia Negro family has lived in the same palace in Pliesim, western Germany, for 300 years, and has spent the past 300 years restoring the palace to restore its former glory, but at around 4 a.m. on Thursday, July 15 this year, the family was forced to leave it in Within minutes, firefighters yelled at them from outside, telling them to evacuate the palace, as floodwaters rushed towards it. "We couldn't save anything, not the historical furniture, not even the heirloom photos, just our phones," says Negro, 32.

Like many in Germany and neighboring countries, the Negro family did not anticipate how severe the flooding would be. She and the mansion's 40 residents, including all its members entirely, plus the tenants, spent the night on Wednesday moving furniture to the upper floors, and went to sleep as soon as the rain stopped. It rained in the evening, but while they slept, the muddy water continued to rise in Balsam, threatening the nearby dam to collapse. group to try to save him.

This sense of shock was shared by many Northwestern Europeans, accustomed to strong management and a temperate climate rarely affected by the extreme weather they see on the news, and few were prepared for the sights they saw that week, after the region's worst floods in centuries.

More than seven inches of rain fell on parts of the states of Rhineland-Palatinate and North Rhine-Westphalia in western Germany in July, nearly twice the usual rainfall expected for the entire month of July, causing major rivers to drain and completely overwhelm villages and towns.

At least 160 people died in Germany and 31 in Belgium, and some 370 miles of railways were damaged. German Chancellor Angela Merkel told reporters while examining the damage to Schöld, a town on the Ahr River: "The German language has no words." I think, for destruction.”

In Madagascar, for example, the worst drought in 40 years is currently pushing 400,000 people towards starvation, and in the summer of 2021 there seems to be no safe place in the age of climate change, as a normally temperate village, western Canada, has briefly become one of the most the hottest on earth, before wildfires destroyed 90% of their buildings, and there was a tragic - albeit less devastating - disruption than in New York and London this month, when several inches of rain fell within a few hours and poured into subway systems, She let the terrified passengers wade into the filthy, waist-deep water.

Flood survivors in Germany are losing a sense of relative safety in the face of climate change. “We live in a society that thinks it can control nature,” says Albi Rubik, the priest who was appointed by the government in Bonn to advise hundreds of survivors in North Rhine-Westphalia. Now people feel helpless about what is happening, we have to fear water and fire, like our ancestors 40,000 years ago, and it is very difficult for people to understand that.”

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Nowhere is the nascent climate crisis more evident than in the American West, where extreme drought and heat have led to life-threatening conditions.

.

The IPCC report is based on research by 234 authors, who contributed more than 14,000 studies and references, and covers all shifts that occur in the environment, from the way water is used to the level of moisture in the soil, where temperature remains the basis of all these changes.

.

In Madagascar, for example, the worst drought in 40 years is currently pushing 400,000 people towards starvation, and in the summer of 2021 there seems to be no safe place in the age of climate change, as a normally temperate village in western Canada for a while became one of the most The hottest place on Earth, before forest fires destroyed 90% of its buildings.

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