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Ahead of next year's presidential election, SBS has prepared an order to verify the promises of the opposition and opposition candidates. Together with the Korean Association for Policy Studies, we will introduce the four indicators of concreteness, relevance, empathy, and realism to verify the candidates' promises in turn. Today (26th), the first day, let's take a look at the real estate promises of the 6 Democratic primary candidates.
This is reporter Yoo Soo-hwan.
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house price problem, which has emerged as the biggest topic of the next year's presidential election, the Democratic presidential candidates shouted 'supply bomb' as a solution with one voice.
First, Candidate Jae-myung Lee promised to supply 2.5 million units during his term, including 1 million basic housing units.
He announced that he would increase the tax burden on existing speculative housing to open up an avenue for supply.
Although it is appropriate to ease the burden of 'real residence' and increase the burden of 'speculation', the Policy Society gave a low score to the reality because there was no explanation about the source of supply and financing.
Candidate Choo Mi-ae also pledged to impose a land tenure tax on all landowners in addition to the succession of the Moon Jae-in administration's plan to supply 2 million units in the metropolitan area and to distribute the increase in tax revenue to the people.
The Society for Policy Studies evaluated that the 'land tenure tax' could contribute to stabilizing housing prices, but there could be great resistance from taxpayers and there is no plan for distribution.
The difference in supply between the metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas is also noticeable. Candidate Nak-Yeon Lee promises to supply 70,000 housing units, including smart new towns, to the site of Seoul Airport in the metropolitan area, and Yong-Jin Park promises to supply 200,000 housing units equivalent to the construction cost on the site of Gimpo Airport in Seoul. I did.
While both candidates have a specific goal of providing housing where there is infrastructure, the evaluation team gave them low ratings for realism, given the lack of mention of financing.
Candidates Chung Sye-kyun and Kim Du-gwan turned their eyes to the Chungcheong area instead of the metropolitan area.
Candidate Chung Sye-kyun emphasized that Chungcheong-do was created as a new metropolitan area, with 93 trillion won from the Housing and Urban Fund for supply and 40 trillion won from the general budget.
The Society for Policy Studies gave generous marks to the specificity of financing, but evaluated that the solution to how to solve the vicious cycle of rising real estate prices due to land compensation was insufficient.
Candidate Doo-Kwan Kim is also planning to create a mega-city in Chungcheong and Buul to relieve overcrowding in the metropolitan area.
The megacity initiative is an appropriate strategy for population reduction, but the evaluation team pointed out that it is only at the level of regional development commitments.
Candidates Chung Sye-kyun scored relatively high in the concreteness of their promises, Sye-kyun Chung and Jae-myung Lee in relevance, and Sye-kyun Chung and Yong-jin Park in voter empathy. All six candidates scored low in reality.
[Professor Lee Seok-hwan, Kookmin University/Chairman of Election Commitment Evaluation, Korean Association for Policy Studies: Unexpected results that may occur when implemented, and if these concerns are not taken into account, the real estate policy itself is judged to have very low probability of success]
(Video coverage: Park Jin-ho) · Park Hyun-cheol·Kim Seung-tae, video editing: Yumira, CG: Seo Seung-hyun)