With the presidential election next year approaching 200 days away, SBS conducted a poll again for the first time in a month for voters across the country.



First of all, I asked who he would be filming in the March election next year.




Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung 23.2, former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol 21.7, and former Democratic Party leader Lee Nak-yeon 10.6% were surveyed.



The approval ratings of Governor Lee and former President Yoon are within the margin of error.




Next, Assemblyman Hong Jun-pyo 7, former Auditor General Choi Jae-hyung 3.2, former Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae 2.7, People's Party Representative Ahn Cheol-soo 2.5, former lawmaker Yoo Seung-min 2.3%, and other runners such as Shim Sang-jung, Won Hee-ryong and Jeong Se-kyun were below 2%.




Comparing with the SBS survey a month ago, the order of the 'Big 3 runners' remained the same, but the figures all dropped by around 2 percentage points.



Assuming a one-on-one virtual match between the opposition and opposition runners, we asked who they would support.





In the case of a confrontation between Governor Lee Jae-myung and former President Yoon Seok-yeol, it was investigated that it would be a close battle within the margin of error with 36.9% for Governor Lee and 35.4% for former President Yoon.




By region, Governor Lee in Incheon, Gyeonggi and Honam, and former President Yoon in Seoul and Yeongnam showed higher approval ratings.




In the case of the 'Lee Nak-Yeon vs. Yoon Seok-Yeol' virtual match, '32 to 36.1%' is also within the margin of error.




Former President Lee is in Honam, and former President Yoon is supported in Seoul, Chungcheong, and Yeongnam.




They also asked who they thought would be the best candidate for the Democratic nomination.



Governor Lee Jae-myung had the highest share with 32.8%, followed by former CEO Lee Nak-yeon with 19.6%.




Next, former Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae 4, former Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun and Rep. Park Yong-jin each accounted for 3.5, and Rep. Kim Du-gwan took 1 percent.




By region, candidate Lee Jae-myung has the upper hand in most regions, including Chungcheong, the first touring contest, but in Honam, where the party's support is strong, Lee Jae-myung and Lee Nak-yeon are within the margin of error.




When asked whether they thought that the mutual struggle between the candidates during the Democratic presidential primary process would affect their support, 64.6% answered yes and 29.1% did not.




The fitness of the People's Power presidential candidate was also investigated, with 25.1 former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol, 15.2 Hong Jun-pyo, and 12% Yoo Seung-min, former lawmaker.




It was followed by Choi Jae-hyung, former Auditor General at 4.6, former Jeju Governor Won Hee-ryong 4, and Assemblyman Ha Tae-kyung at 1.1%, while the other 7 runners were below 1%.




When looking only at the fitness of Daegu and Gyeongbuk, where there are relatively many members of the People's Power Party, Yun Seok-yeol was 34.3, Hong Jun-pyo 13.7, and Yoo Seung-min 11.3%.




If the presidential candidate he supported does not become a finalist in the party, he was asked whether he would support another party candidate, the so-called 'departure'.



Among Lee Jae-myung supporters, 23.6% said yes, 16.9 Lee Nak-yeon supporters and 15.2% Yun Seok-yeol supporters.




In the order of party approval, the Democratic Party, the People's Power, the People's Party, the Open Democratic Party, and the Justice Party were in that order.





Regarding the question of whether President Yoon's recent remarks about 'unclean food' and 'Fukushima nuclear accident' would affect support, 58 respondents said they would affect it, and 36.1% said it would not.




In the question of which outcome would be more desirable in the next presidential election, the response to regime change was 17.2 percentage points higher, with 38.2 re-creation of government and 55.4 percent of regime change.




Compared to the SBS survey a month ago, 're-creation of government' decreased by 2.2 percentage points, and 'replacement of government' increased by 4.3 percentage points.




President Moon Jae-in's approval ratings for state management were 39.3 for doing well and 56.4% for not doing well.



<Survey Overview>



Investigation Request: SBS


Investigation Agency: Nextresearch


Date and Time: August 13-14, 2021


Survey Subject: 1,004 men and women aged 18 and over nationwide (wired RDD and wireless virtual number after gender, age, and region assignment) Extraction)


Survey method: Wired/wireless telephone interview survey (wireless 85%, landline 15%)


Response rate: 17.7% (1,004 surveys succeeded by contacting 5,664 people)


Weighting method: Weighted by gender, age, and region (cell weighted/2021) Based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of July, 2017)


Sampling error: ±3.1%p (95% confidence level)



Details can be found on the Central Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee or the SBS website.



▶ Go to SBS Opinion Poll Statistical Table

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