We can look forward to it: heated speeches, gripping rhetoric battles.

Imagine this constellation, for example: The CDU man Hans-Georg Maaßen, 58 years old and a newcomer to the Bundestag, gives a speech to which the SDP politician Kevin Kühnert, 32 and also a member of parliament, vigorously replies.

Mona Jaeger

Deputy Editor in Charge of News.

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Now you don't have to be a friend or girlfriend of one or the other - if the standards of democracy and manners are upheld, it is good for the most important German parliament when heated debates take place in it.

Of course, the contradiction and scrambling should not be an end in itself, as can be seen regularly in the AfD parliamentary group.

The federal election in September will not only end the official term of office of Chancellor Angela Merkel.

In addition to her, several other prominent and / or long-serving MPs will leave the Bundestag.

The surveys currently suggest that well-known politicians (Kühnert, Maaßen) and representatives of vocal groups (Fridays for Future) are on the decline.

A political climate change?

Of course! That's the obvious answer. If Kühnert, who almost drove the SPD into opposition with his Juso troops in 2018, will now have an even bigger stage, namely the Reichstag. But the Kühnert issue is not that clear-cut. It is true that Kühnert was a wild guy who was rhetorically versed and tactically adept at leading the SPD into severe storms (even if not into the opposition), and then, with the support of "his" Jusos, the unknown couple Saskia Esken and Norbert Walther- Borjans to the top of the party.

But what is Kühnert doing these days? It has become pretty quiet around him. This is because he goes from door to door in the tranquil Tempelhof-Schöneberg district of Berlin and hands citizens a flyer with his face. Kühnert has a good place on the list in Berlin, he will surely make it into the Bundestag. Still, he hangs himself in. Anything else would be stupid. And that is what the quieter Kühnert stayed: clever and systematic.

Kühnert will then have to find his role in parliament. The unwritten principle applies: no matter how known you are out there. As a newcomer to parliament, you are first in line. Nonetheless, if the SPD parliamentary group is wise, it will allow its newcomer to speak in parliament. You can put Kühnert in the shop window. They don't have that many of that sort.

The SPD parliamentary group must expect to shrink. The 20.5 percent that the party won four years ago seem almost unattainable today. This will also change the balance of power. Some MPs who are considered to be comparatively conservative have already left the Bundestag. Several other prominent politicians have also announced their departure: for example Martin Schulz (who won the 20.5 percent as a candidate for chancellor) and Christine Lambrecht, the Federal Minister of Justice and the Federal Minister of Family Affairs.

There is also a lot going on at the Union, beyond measure. The former parliamentary group leader Volker Kauder is leaving, as are the (former) ministers Thomas de Maizière and Gerd Müller, as well as the influential household expert Eckhardt Rehberg. Conservative party members and perhaps voters are expecting a shift in emphasis after the liberal Merkel years from the return of Friedrich Merz.

Not only in the Sauerland, where Merz comes from, have more conservative candidates prevailed against the previous incumbents when it came to the candidate list. For example in Frankfurt, where the long-time MP Matthias Zimmer railed against the interaction of dark, very conservative forces. Something similar happened in other constituencies. But a trend cannot be read from it - even less a backlash after 16 years of Merkel.

There will probably be a power shift in the Left Party faction, which is interesting with a view to a left alliance after the election. The number of MPs from East Germany is likely to decline. These are traditionally more realpolitical and less ideology-driven. For example, the reformer Stefan Liebich will not move back into the Bundestag. In his role as foreign policy spokesman, Liebich has already given a counter-speech when the love of Russia got out of hand in his parliamentary group. This voice is missing in the future.

And the greens? Your faction will grow. Maybe a few complicated minds as well. Maybe Jakob Blasel, just 20 years old. Blasel helped organize the major climate strikes in Germany, he marched alongside Greta Thunberg in the Fridays for Future protests. Now he is eighth on the Greens list in Schleswig-Holstein. The entry into the Bundestag can work, even if that is not certain. One way or another, however, the climate activists will have an influence on politics, of all factions.