• Gimbe analysis: after 15 weeks the number of cases goes up.

    The fourth wave arrives

  • Coronavirus, 5,696 new cases and 15 deaths in the last 24 hours

  • Germany, Robert Koch Institut: "The fourth Covid wave has begun"

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July 29, 2021From cases to deaths, passing through hospitalizations, the epidemic is growing and "in fact we have entered the 4th wave". After 15 weeks of decline, victims are back on the rise: 111 in the last week, 46% more than the 76 of the previous week. This was revealed by the independent monitoring of the Gimbe Foundation for the week 21-27 July 2021, which sees a weekly increase of 64.8% of new cases (31,963 compared to 19,390), an increase of 42.9% of people in isolation (68,510 compared to to 47,951), a 34.9% increase in hospitalizations with symptoms (1,611 compared to 1,194) and 14.5% in intensive care.




"After the first signs of recovery recorded last week - says Renata Gili, Head of Research on Health Services of the Gimbe Foundation - a slight increase in hospitalizations is confirmed, documenting the hospital impact of increased viral circulation". Overall, the number of beds occupied by Covid patients in the medical area went from 1,088 on July 16 to 1,611 on July 27 and that of intensive care from 151 on July 14 to 189 on July 27, although the percentages remain very high. low: nationally 3% in the medical area and 2% in intensive care, with all the Regions recording values ​​well below 15% for the medical area and 10% for the critical area. "Daily admissions to intensive care - explains Marco Mosti,operating director of the Gimbe Foundation - they continue to grow slowly: the 7-day moving average is 14 admissions / day compared to 10 in the previous week ".       



Pregliasco: we are in the growing phase




"In fact we are in the growing phase of the epidemic. Having reopened later we are a little behind compared to Great Britain and other European countries, but the scenario we will see will be the same." This was stated by virologist Fabrizio Pregliasco, IRCCS Galeazzi health director of Milan, who spoke to the microphones of the program '' Daily Challenges '' conducted by Roberta Sias on Cusano Italia Tv. "We are already seeing an increase in the occupancy of beds in the wards and intensive care - he added - but we also have evidence in Italy of the effectiveness of vaccination in avoiding especially the most serious forms. 99% of deaths from February to date are of subjects not vaccinated or vaccinated with a single dose. The vaccine does not completely cover the infection,only 88% guarantee to avoid infection, which in any case in vaccinated people runs substantially asymptomatically ''