(Question about things) Professor Shenyang of Tsinghua University: Can Huawei Hongmeng break through the US monopoly?
China News Service, Beijing, July 25. Title: Tsinghua Professor Shenyang: Can Huawei Hongmeng break through the US monopoly?
China News Agency reporter Wan Shuyan
Professor Shenyang.
Photo courtesy of me
Huawei officially released HarmonyOS2, the HarmonyOS2 mobile phone operating system last month, which comprehensively covers hardware devices such as mobile phones, car machines, wearable devices, and TVs, and provides a unified language for the intelligence, interconnection and collaboration of different devices, and ultimately realizes the interconnection of all things.
Huawei Hongmeng system will be completely open source. What impact will this have on the Android and Apple IOS systems that dominate the mobile phone market?
Can Hongmeng break through the US monopoly?
Shen Yang, a professor and doctoral supervisor at the School of Journalism and Communication of Tsinghua University, said in an exclusive interview with China News Agency "Ask for East and West" recently, because China's low-end manufacturing capabilities are the world's largest, plus the Internet of Everything OS (operating system), such as Able to achieve the deep integration of AI, big data, the Internet, and traditional manufacturing, Hongmeng will survive and bring about the "catfish effect", which will promote the innovation and iteration of the global mobile phone system.
However, China and the United States must strive to achieve "peaceful competition."
The summary of the interview record is as follows:
China News Agency reporter: "We have entered the era of the Internet of Everything, no one is an island," said Yu Chengdong, Huawei's executive director and CEO of consumer business. You have served as an associate professor and professor in two disciplines: computer and information management. The main research directions are AI and big data, new media, and online public opinion. In your opinion, compared with Android and IOS systems, what kind of technological changes will Hongmeng system lead to?
Shenyang:
In the mobile phone system, compared with Android and iOS, Hongmeng is equivalent to the offspring, but in the field of the Internet of Things, it is a generation.
Therefore, Hongmeng system has multiple advantages.
Huawei showcased the OS system of Hongmeng Motor Vehicle.
Photo by Zhang Hengwei
First of all, Hongmeng's distributed operating system for all scenarios is applicable to a range of devices.
Starting from 128KB memory, from low memory to high memory, it is applicable to go up, this is an obvious advantage.
Secondly, Hongmeng has the concept of "distributed soft bus", which can integrate different hardware devices at the software level, which can be understood as forming a virtualized, Internet of Things group world, which is very valuable.
Third, unlike iOS and Android, Hongmeng will have a strong performance in artificial intelligence in the future.
When iOS and Android were born, artificial intelligence was not as developed as it is now.
In recent years, smart devices such as smart home products have appeared. It is believed that AI will become the soul configuration embedded in Hongmeng since its birth, which can be connected to everything.
Fourth, Hongmeng will have a better performance in intelligent interaction.
Because of the urgency of China's needs and the diligence of the Chinese people, Hongmeng system will be iterated faster than IOS, Android and Fuchsia OS.
In this process, it is very important how to deeply integrate the application of artificial intelligence technology with the operating system to bring more practicality and freshness to users.
In the past few years, the software and hardware of Huawei mobile phones have made rapid progress.
Based on this, I have expectations for the artificial intelligence applications of Huawei's operating system.
Apple has created a closed integrated system of software and hardware, which can be abstractly summarized as "I am the universe"; Google has created a widely used open environment, "The universe is me"; and Huawei, due to its strong manufacturing capabilities, Hongmeng system presents Develop the concept of "Me and the Universe".
Hongmeng’s strategy is a state between Apple and Google. Huawei itself has a strong ability to ship and integrate smart devices. In addition to Huawei’s own “small universe”, there are also many Chinese smart manufacturers in the “big universe”. "Huawei must clarify the division of labor and strengthen cooperation with other manufacturers.
However, in this intermediate state, there are ultimately two choices to be made: either "I am the universe" or "The universe is me", making a completely open system, so that we can truly reach the top of the world.
Hongmeng will bring the "catfish effect" and promote the innovation and iteration of the global mobile phone system.
This is not a bad thing for Google and Apple. Competitors can promote greater potential and accelerate the introduction of new technologies and applications of new ideas.
Consumers want to see accelerated product iteration and provide more, better, safer, and more privacy-protecting operating systems.
However, competition should be conducted under equal rules.
Under the "catfish effect", Google will accelerate the construction of the global IoT operating system alliance.
China should also accelerate the construction of the Internet of Things operating system alliance, especially led by industry associations and academic alliances, cultivate and support a large number of manufacturers, build a benign ecology, and form a domestic joint force.
China News Service: Judging from the current global market share of mobile phone operating systems, Android accounts for 68.63% and IOS accounts for 30.99% of the global market. Can Huawei Hongmeng mobile operating system break the monopoly of the two?
Shenyang: The
Hongmeng system has just been born. At this stage, we must first think about how to make it survive and pass the "puberty" well.
Huawei mobile phones retain a certain market share in the world. It originally had the largest market share in China's domestic market. Therefore, there is no problem with the installation volume of the Hongmeng system, and some domestic mobile phone manufacturers that do not involve GMS (Google Mobile Services) can install Hongmeng first.
On this basis, with the improvement of network services like HMS, Hongmeng can be able to talk about catching up on a global scale.
Since China's low-end manufacturing capacity is the world's first, coupled with the Internet of Everything OS (operating system), if the deep integration of AI, big data, the Internet and traditional manufacturing can be achieved, Hongmeng will have no problem to survive, forming a tripartite The trend is entirely possible.
Hongmeng is not just an operating system, the first thing to build is an ecosystem.
There is no need to worry about China's local ecological construction. Due to its huge market and good industry prospects, various domestic manufacturers will soon adapt and be compatible with it.
Data map: Audiences experience the Hongmeng car machine OS system in the car.
Photo by Zhang Hengwei
But Hongmeng's goal cannot stop at the Chinese market, but should go abroad.
There are many restrictive factors in the construction of overseas ecology.
Therefore, it is hoped that Hongmeng can survive first, and secondly get its due market share, and then fight a protracted battle.
With a good start, long-term efforts and rapid iteration are needed, and the market will get better and better.
Huawei has surpassed the West in the field of 5G communication technology, which has reference value for Hongmeng.
Going down to the level of content, it is also related to culture. Sometimes it is not that the software will sell well if it is done well.
For example, European and American users have high requirements for privacy protection, and fragmented Android is quite controversial on privacy issues.
If Hongmeng does a better job of privacy management than Android, it will have an advantage.
The United States leads the world in Internet of Things technology, but whether it can fully occupy the market is not 100% determined by technology, and cost is also an important factor.
For example, the robot dog developed by Boston Dynamics of the United States once sold for 530,000 yuan, while the robot dog developed by China itself was priced at 16,000.
China News Agency reporter: Compared with Android and IOS that have been released for many years, Hongmeng's ecosystem can be said to be its biggest shortcoming. Do you have any suggestions for this?
Shenyang:
On May 25th, just before the Hongmeng system went live, Google released Fuchsia OS first, hoping to take advantage of the Internet of Everything.
And Apple has always advocated the Internet of Everything, and its products can be synchronized and connected.
However, this move is only a replacement for Android for Google, which is equivalent to revamping its own life. The motivation is slightly insufficient, and it is a bit "hurriedly challenged."
However, Huawei originally did not have a widely used operating system. Under the pressure of "stuck neck", it is equivalent to saving its own life.
The emergence of the Hongmeng system can be described as the right time and place.
From the perspective of time, China has become the world's second largest economy, and the demand for autonomous operating systems has become rigid.
In particular, after the United States was "stuck on the neck" of Chinese technology companies, everyone realized that China should have its own operating system.
Secondly, China's low- and mid-end manufacturing capacity ranks first in the world, and mid- and high-end manufacturing industries are also developing rapidly.
The world’s top ten Internet companies include 6 in the United States and 4 in China.
In regions other than China and the United States, China's home appliance products, smart products, and mobile phones have high sales volume and high demand, especially for many smart devices that do not need to be embedded in GMS, which can be carried out using the Hongmeng system.
It can be described as geographically advantageous.
Finally, the Chinese people's current support for domestic products, national brands, and national trends is a social fashion, which can be described as harmonious.
I predict that the strategies of Google, Apple, and Huawei are different.
After completing the stock conversion, Huawei can focus more on the non-mobile smart manufacturing market and take the protracted strategy. Although it is subject to the shortage of chips, China is able to complete other smart devices that do not require high chips and GMS. For localization, Hongmeng will cooperate extensively with these manufacturers to build its own ecosystem.
As for the issue of mobile phone manufacturers adapting to Hongmeng, it will take time to delimit the sphere of influence of Android, IOS and Hongmeng.
China News Agency reporter: The United States has politicized scientific and technological issues as a counterweight to contain China. What kind of negative impact do you think this will bring? In the era of the Internet of Everything, can Hongmeng, Android and IOS, these systems based on different ways of thinking co-exist and merge to form a situation of "beauty and common, the world is in harmony"?
Shenyang: The
key to the industrial competition between China and the United States is to see who can truly mobilize global wisdom.
In this case, China needs to unite with other countries, including the American people.
If China can integrate a considerable part of the world's power, the game will turn to a more favorable direction for us.
To truly realize symbiosis, co-prosperity, and interconnection, we must have the right to speak and define rules. The premise is that we must have enough technological innovation.
Since modern times, the West has always used its invented technology and theories to define rules.
Data map: Huawei booth.
Photo by Zhang Hengwei
To truly solve the "stuck neck" problem, it requires the cooperation of software and hardware, and ultimately can survive independently, otherwise it will face great challenges.
This will take a long way.
The development of science and technology is a dynamic process, and all countries are catching up with you.
Technological growth is characterized by linear growth for a period of time. Once innovative technologies are developed, it will become leaping growth and exponential growth. There are many variables in the process.
In the game between China and the West, whether China's innovation can continue to maintain its current state is quite difficult, and it requires a lot of effort.
Compared with the United States, China’s innovation capability is still far behind, especially in terms of breakthrough innovation.
"From 1 to 100" can be achieved through hard work, but from "0 to 1" requires a good atmosphere of innovation.
To change this situation, China needs to form synergy in many aspects.
The most important thing is to improve the social ecology, break all the constraints on innovative ideas, guide the society to form an open environment, and promote independent innovation.
China must encourage young people to stand out, increase policy support for young people’s scientific research and innovation; create a relaxed scientific research atmosphere and a social atmosphere that more respects scientific researchers; encourage scientific research mechanism innovation, industry-university-research integration, and improve quality and efficiency; society It is necessary to create an environment that can both inspire success and tolerate mistakes and failures.
China News Service: In recent years, the United States has spread the so-called "Huawei equipment threatens national security" public opinion, which has led many countries to unilaterally break contracts and refuse Huawei's participation in local 5G network construction. The U.S. Department of Commerce also included Huawei in its "Entity List" two years ago, prohibiting Huawei from selling or purchasing communications technology and services to the United States. In your opinion, in the face of the US technology blockade, how should Chinese technology companies improve themselves?
Shenyang:
If you want to resolve the "stuck neck" problem, you can only start from the very basics. There is no shortcut.
It is necessary to give full play to the overall coordination ability of the society, and guide talents, funds, and policies to tilt in this field.
It is also necessary to accelerate the construction of a new development pattern in which the internal and external double cycles promote each other.
Innovation needs to insist on "inviting in and going out" simultaneously, and continue to absorb external intellectual resources.
Technology companies should not rest on their laurels, they must promote innovation in opening up and cultivate more and more industry leaders.
The more tense the situation, the more open it is. Openness is the fundamental "weapon" that China can truly fight its opponents in this game. Resting on its own will only make the road narrower and narrower.
Many companies now seek to grow bigger. In fact, strong companies are not necessarily large. As long as technology is indispensable in the global industrial chain, they will have the right to speak.
The cultural content and branding of scientific and technological products also need to be improved. Only by combining traditional Chinese culture with contemporary spirit and emerging technologies can there be unique domestic products, national brands and national trends.
A game between China and the United States is not a bad thing, it can promote healthy development.
China has developed rapidly over the past 40 years and must maintain a state of reform and progress.
However, based on the common interests of the world, China and the United States should strive to achieve peaceful competition.
(Finish)
Shenyang, professor and doctoral supervisor of the School of Journalism of Tsinghua University, main research directions: AI and big data, new media, and online public opinion.
He has served as a professor or part-time professor at Wuhan University, Renmin University of China, Xinjiang University and other schools. Now he is an expert in nearly ten ministries and commissions, as well as vice presidents or secretary-generals of many second-level societies. Four batches of "selected" and selected by the Ministry of Education's New Century Talents Program.
He is one of the experts with the most theoretical and practical spirit in the field of Internet research in China. At the age of 34, he was promoted to a professor and doctoral supervisor. He is the chief expert of the social science fund major project in Internet governance.
The team has won the first prize or gold medal in a number of AI and big data competitions at home and abroad, published more than 100 papers, dozens of software copyrights and patents, and designed a big data platform with over one million users and over 100 million daily data. strip.