SBS surveyed voters across the country on their support for presidential candidates.
First of all, when asked who they would vote for in the next March presidential election, Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung 25.1%, former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol 24.5%, and former Democratic Party leader Lee Nak-yeon 12%.
The approval ratings of Governor Lee and former President Yoon are within the margin of error.
Rep. Jun-pyo Hong 4.2%, former Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae 3.8%, former Auditor General Choi Jae-hyung 3.2%, former lawmaker Yoo Seung-min 2.2%, Ahn Cheol-soo, former Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun, Rep. Shim Sang-jeong, Jeju Governor Won Hee-ryong, Kim Du-gwan, and Park Yong-jin This followed.
Compared with the SBS poll in April, Governor Lee and former CEO Lee rose 2.9 percentage points and 1.2 percentage points, respectively, while former President Yoon fell 3.8 percentage points.
In the case of a virtual bilateral confrontation between the opposition and opposition candidates, if Governor Lee Jae-myung and former President Yoon Seok-yeol were to face each other, 36.9% of Governor Lee and 34% of former President Yoon were found to be close within the margin of error.
In the case of 'Lee Nak-Yeon vs. Yoon Seok-Yeol', Nak-Yeon Lee 32.7% and Seok-Yeol Yoon 37.3% are also within the margin of error.
To the question of whether Governor Lee Jae-myung's abusive words from his brother-in-law and the allegations of privacy related to the actress would affect Gigi, there was a tension between those who said they would and those who said they wouldn't.
On the other hand, when asked whether the former president's mother-in-law's first trial sentence and the controversy over his thesis would affect support, more than twice as many answered that it would.
Among the six candidates who passed the Democratic primary, we asked who they thought was the most suitable candidate for the presidential election, and Lee Jae-myung 35%, Lee Nak-yeon 20%, Chu Mi-ae 4.7%, Jeong Se-kyun 4.2%, Park Yong-jin 3.6%, Kim Doo-gwan 0.4% .
Analysis of support by region showed that Jae-myung Lee had the upper hand in most regions, but in the Chungcheong region, the first round of the primary, the support rates of candidates Jae-myung Lee and Nak-yeon Lee were within the margin of error.
In the degree of fit for the opposition presidential candidate, former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol 26.7%, Rep. Hong Jun-pyo 10.2%, former Assemblyman Yoo Seung-min 7.7%, followed by Shim Sang-jeong 5.7%, People's Party Chairman Ahn Cheol-su 5.0%, Former Auditor General Choi Jae-hyung 3.8%, Jeju Governor Won Hee-ryong 2.5%, Rep. Ha Tae-kyung 1.8%, former Deputy Prime Minister Kim Dong-yeon 1.3%, Rep. Yoon Hee-sook and former United Future Party Chairman Hwang Kyo-ahn, and Rep. Kim Tae-ho were less than 1%.
When asked what outcome they think would be more desirable in the next presidential election, 40.4% of re-creation of government and 51.1% of regime change responded with a 10.7 percentage point higher response.
Compared to last April's SBS poll, responses to regime re-creation increased by 5.2 percentage points, and regime change decreased by 2.8 percentage points.
Party approval ratings were in the order of 30.7% for the Democratic Party, 26.3% for the People's Strength, 3.5% for the People's Party and the Open Democratic Party, and 2.3% for the Justice Party. President Moon Jae-in's support for state affairs was well done at 44.3% and poorly at 51.9%.
Regarding the controversy over the abolition of the Ministry of Gender Equality and Family, which has recently emerged in the political arena, 49.1% in favor of the abolition and 43.1% against the abolition were within the margin of error.
Regarding the subject of the 5th disaster relief payment, 41.5% said that it should be given to all citizens, and 44.6% said that it should be given only to the bottom 80% of income earners.
<Survey Overview>
Investigation Request: SBS
Research Agency: Next Research
Date and Time: July 12-13, 2021
Survey Target: 1,01 men and women 18 years of age or older nationwide (Wireless virtual number extraction after gender, age, and region assignment) )
Survey method: Wireless phone interview (100%)
Response rate: 22.6%
Weighting method: Weighted by gender, age, and region (cell weighted/based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of June 2021)
Sample error: ±3.1% points (95 % confidence level)
For more information, visit the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee or SBS News website.
▶ Go to the SBS poll statistics table
(Photo = Yonhap News)