After growing fears of an uncertain future for the European Union

Britain desperately needs US support

  • Boris Johnson has turned his back on the Europeans and is winning over the Americans.

    Father

  • Giorgia Meloni is an opponent of the European Union.

    AFP

  • The rise of the right-wing in Italy is a threat to the European project.

    AFP

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US President Joe Biden is trying to build a democratic coalition to stem the tide led by China and Russia, which will divide the world in two, leaving Europe, which British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, has failed, in an unenviable position, and despite the public welcome of Biden's key message. — that the United States is “back,” after the hypernationalist and xenophobic embrace of former President Donald Trump — European leaders seem unconvinced, worried that the European Union may be swept into a second, unlimited Cold War, and that Biden, who will turn 82 In 2024, a hard-line Trump, or someone similar to him, could oust him.

The message to Europe, through the rewritten NATO charter, was clear.

a pet

With Brexit, London will become an obedient pet to Washington. Johnson is not Winston Churchill, but he, like the latter in 1941, desperately needs the support of the United States, and Biden will strive to unite the transatlantic alliance, which for him means all European democracies, Including the UK, but the Johnson government's anti-EU course, seen in the recent spat with Brussels over Northern Ireland, threatens the US president's vision.

Last week's strong preemptive intervention by senior US officials suggests that London will eventually have to make concessions, if only because Johnson did not dare to jeopardize broader US relations, yet hostility between the United Kingdom and the European Union appears to be on its way to Go deeper, and Biden will have to tighten the screws again in the future.

European concerns

Europe's concerns about strategic isolation as a bipolar and divisive world order crystallize are realistic, and to the east lie China, Russia, and like-minded regimes, India, Turkey, Iran and others, and they despise international norms defined by the West.

To the west is the United States, which is now a broken and divided power, whose political stability and stability can no longer be relied upon. Biden's efforts to restore international relations to normal are guaranteed by European support as long as it continues, as the "reunion" summit between the European Union and the United States shows. And NATO.

But if Trump or his henchmen regain power, America's permanent division with Europe and its liberal and pluralistic principles could become inevitable, which in turn could destroy the European Union, for example if populists in Poland or Hungary break away completely from Brussels.

Johnson, for his part, would be happy with Trump back and the European Union divided, and concerns about Europe's future in a hostile world are reflected in a comprehensive new survey of European Union countries, conducted by the European Council on Foreign Relations, that reveals what its authors call "widespread distrust in the ability of the United States to return." As the leader of the West,” and most Europeans believe that the American political system is broken, and this frustration is not only because of Trump, and the poll concluded that “more than a year after the start of the epidemic, the feeling has been established among Europeans that they cannot rely on the United States, Russia or China, And they have to move towards more self-reliance.”

Europe pressure

Europe will be squeezed like an unripe lemon, by competing global powers, who do not share their values ​​nor their interests. Europeans don't trust anyone anymore. Instead, a majority believes that Europe should develop united responses to global threats, and they prefer pragmatic partnerships over Enduring alliances, many want the EU to be a “beacon of democracy and human rights” and a self-defending superpower, as the EU faces an extraordinary agenda for the 21st century - including the issues of the climate crisis, the pandemic, economic recovery, migration and digitization Cyber ​​threats, right-wing populism - this aspiration should be welcome in theory.

However, it seems that politicians and bureaucrats in Europe are not ready, and while the public wants the European Union to do more, confidence is low, not least because of its mistakes in managing the pandemic, and disappointment has now bypassed the institutions of the European Union, to reach other areas, and became prevalent.

This reflects a broader problem: a dearth of effective national leaders, few of whom are committed to building the autonomy and self-sufficiency that European voters want, and a lack of solidarity when it comes to standing up to China, over Xinjiang and Hong Kong, or Russia over Ukraine and Belarus The opponent, Alexei Navalny, or confronting the United States over Israel, Palestine and trade.

German confusion

In Germany, Chancellor Angela Merkel's impending departure has created confusion, and despite talk of a green revolution, voters (as usual) seem likely to choose the safe, inward-looking option, namely Armin Laschet, Merkel's successor in the CDU.

In France, President Emmanuel Macron, aware of Johnson's plans and American intentions, regularly calls for a financially, economically and militarily integrated Europe. 2022.

Trump's ally

In Italy, the rise of far-right parties has inspired ultra-nationalists, xenophobes and bigots everywhere, and Giorgia Meloni's ideas, for example, about identity and the conspiracies of globalization make her a natural ally of Trump, not Biden or Brussels, and in the meantime it seems absurd to look forward. To strong leadership of the European Union, and if the "union" was a true democracy, it was expected that the President of the Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, would be removed from her post because of her failure to provide the vaccine, but the Union does not work that way, and that is part of the problem.

As for the leaders of the "Union", the Group of Seven has established the illusion of power and purpose, and unless it urgently controls its destiny, Europe will find itself among competing global powers that do not share its values ​​or interests, and Europe has two options, either to be a player in a standing position on the stage. world, or you risk becoming a quaint cultural museum frequented by Chinese tourists, and a victim of Trump and Johnson's mockery.

Simon Tisdale ■ Columnist

Europe's fears of strategic isolation, with a bipolar and divisive world order taking shape, are realistic. To the east lie China, Russia, and like-minded regimes, despising the mores of the West, and to the west America is a broken and divided power whose stability and fortitude cannot be relied upon.

If Trump or his henchmen regain power, America's permanent division with Europe and its liberal and pluralistic principles may become inevitable, which in turn could destroy the European Union, for example, if the populists in Poland or Hungary break away completely from Brussels.

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