The regional elections promise to be difficult for La République en Marche.
The chances of victory for the presidential majority are low and the general staff is already asking the question of possible alliances for the second round.
This will be done on a case-by-case basis depending on local configurations.
How will LREM behave after the first round of regional?
The results of Sunday's poll will be scrutinized by the macronie.
Depending on the situations, which are probably disparate depending on the region, the presidential majority will have to make choices for the second round.
However, the latter will not be easy and will probably arise on a case-by-case basis.
Several regions are particularly in the spotlight, and the decisions taken could mark the end of the five-year term.
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"We will have to withdraw where there is an RN risk"
"We are going to make lace 12 times", confides a leader of LREM.
The strategy will therefore be different from one region to another.
Sunday evening, the Macronist staff will look at three elements: its own scores, potentially very disparate at 10%, 15% or 20% depending on what the polls indicate, the size of the RN wave, and the balance of power between the extreme right and the lists capable of blocking it.
The chances of victory for the majority are low in most regions, so the question of alliances must be raised.
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On this subject, a minister is categorical: "It will be necessary to withdraw where there is a risk RN, to avoid any original sin." A necessary reminder, since this does not necessarily sound obvious. In Hauts-de-France for example, some marchers plead for the maintenance if Xavier Bertrand (LR) refuses to merge, which will certainly be the case in view of the statements of the current president of Hauts-de-France. Technical mergers are an option pushed by several advisers to the head of state. Left, right and macronie against the RN, in PACA for example. Still, we all have to agree. Another scenario that will have to be decided: Burgundy-Franche Comté, today held by the PS and threatened by the RN. "It will be the hour of truth" slips a walker, "we will see if we lean to the right, to the left or to the right and left ".