The Iranians are called to the polls on Friday to choose their new president, the successor of the current moderate president Hassan Rouhani.

Between the nuclear agreement, the sanctions against the sale of oil or even the country's balance, the stakes are high.

Europe 1 deciphers the planned elections in Iran for you.  

DECRYPTION

Change of face at the heart of Iranian politics: voters vote on Friday to elect a new president.

At the end of a locked ballot, the name of Hassan Rohani's successor, the current moderate, will be revealed.

For now, the victory seems promised to the ultra-conservative Ebrahim Raïssi, considered the spiritual son of Guide Ali Khamenei.

A hardline supporter of the regime in the Iranian presidency, it is as if the stars were aligning.

If Ebrahim Raïssi wins on Friday, Iran finds itself with a president on the same line as the Supreme Leader.

He would also have the support of the Guardians of the Revolution and a Parliament which is acquired to him.

Result: more coherence in Iranian positions and more stability.

"He will negotiate with the United States if they think they are in good faith"

And even if the Conservatives take power, the ongoing talks in Vienna over the nuclear deal will not be compromised.

"Whoever the elected president is, he will negotiate with the United States if they think they are in good faith," assures an influential professor of international relations.

It is moreover he who is responsible for passing the conservative messages to the foreign press.

"Iran appreciates having good relations with Europe. The problem is that for the moment the Europeans are not coming to us," he adds.

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This nuclear agreement, which was said to be almost buried, could therefore be reactivated.

If Ebrahim Raïssi wants to seduce a population largely tired of politics, he must obtain the lifting of sanctions.

"He knows that it is important because it is about economy and therefore about eating for the Iranian people. We can no longer afford meat, chicken, or eggs," he said. he.

"At the beginning, the conservatives will show the muscles", continues the English teacher.

But "without this agreement" it would be impossible for the Conservatives to "rule the country".

An economic and political stake

This speech is also valid among the political opponents of Ebrahim Raïssi.

The former elected reformer Mustafa Tarjizadeh is convinced of this: the lifting of sanctions is the number 1 objective of the regime's tough guys.

"The nuclear agreement will eventually be applied and the economic problems linked to the sanctions will be resolved," he assures us.

Before adding: "Iran will even be able to sell its oil again. 

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Iranian oil is essential economically but also politically. The Conservatives could claim to be the ones who revived the country where the moderates failed. If Ebrahim Raïssi is elected, he would also be reinforced at a key moment. A time when the succession of Ayatollah Khamenei, 81, is brewing. And to ensure the survival of the mullahs' regime, the conservatives must have free rein.