Coronavirus, Istat-Iss: "The risk of death is reduced by 95% at 7 weeks from the first vaccine dose"

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• Vaccines, ISS report: deaths, risk dropped by 95%

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June 10, 2021 The risk of death from Covid is reduced by 95% starting from the seventh week after the administration of the first dose of vaccine. This was revealed by the new Istat-Iss contribution on the incidence of the pandemic in Italy. Analyzing the first quarter of 2021, the document explains that "vaccination has led to a significant reduction in the risk of death less than two months after the first dose of the vaccine".

From March 2021, the positive effects of the vaccination campaign, which aimed primarily at protecting the most fragile population, began to be observed. While on the one hand the excess of deaths in March 2021, compared to the average figure for the same month in the 2015-2019 period, continues to be attributable for almost 90% to deaths aged 65 and over, on the other hand compared to the peak the most important decline in deaths in March 2020 is mainly due to the 80+ class; the drop in deaths in this age group compared to March 2021 explains 70% of the decrease in total deaths observed between March 2021 and March 2020; another 26% is due to the lower mortality of the 65-79 year old class. 

The report also highlights the fact that in 2020 mortality in Italy was the highest ever recorded since the postwar period. A total of 746,146 deaths were recorded in the year of the pandemic, 100,526 more than the 2015-2019 average (15.6% excess). Considering the variations in the standardized mortality rates, then, mortality recorded a 9% increase in 2020, compared to the average for the five-year period 2015-2019; the regions that report significantly higher increases are Piedmont, Valle D'Aosta, Lombardy and the Autonomous Province of Trento.

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with a total of 928 victims, while in the second wave the record was recorded on November 19 with 805 deaths. In the first four months of 2021, 42,957 deaths were reported. If we consider only the months of March and April 2021 compared to 2020, 21,004 deaths were reported compared to 30,064 in the respective months in 2020. Overall, since the beginning of the epidemic, the number of deaths occurred mainly among men (56.7% ).

Italy shared with Spain the first dramatic increase in deaths starting from March 2020. However, this increase decreased from May 2020 until October when a new phase of rapid growth occurred. deaths. In December and early 2021, excess mortality in Italy was below the European average and then rose slightly in March 2021.