As soon as the ceasefire came into effect, political and military analysts in Tel Aviv reported that the upcoming escalation on the Gaza front was a matter of time.

The military operation "Guardians of the Walls" ended in a setback for the occupation, and it has remained and the Gaza dilemma will remain for Israel.

The main question now arises in Israel about what should be done with the rule of Hamas in the Gaza Strip, and the question dominates the political and military discourse, in addition to the Israeli research centers, without it having definitive answers.

As this question will be under examination and testing in the coming months, through the issue of Jerusalem and Al-Aqsa, the issue that sparked the escalation and led to rounds of fighting between the resistance factions in Gaza and the Israeli army.

Military analysts and researchers agree that any new military campaign or a comprehensive confrontation without a ground invasion will be of no value or feasibility, noting at the same time that a ground operation needs a strong and stable government in Tel Aviv to take such a decision.

The Israeli occupation forces were unable to carry out a ground operation in Gaza in anticipation of the Palestinian resistance surprises (Reuters)

Ground operation

With the end of the fourth war between Israel and Hamas in the last decade, it can be said that during 11 days of fighting Hamas forces and their assets were subjected to a heavy blow and effective fire from the Israeli Air Force, according to Reserve General Gershon Hacohen, a researcher at the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, who said "But in faith, in fulfillment of its faith and dream, the Hamas leadership was able to determine the goal of fighting as directed from the beginning in the battle of the struggle for Jerusalem."

Regarding the question that arises again: "What do we do in Gaza?"

Hacohen says, "This question requires the full attention of the defense establishment and the political level. Despite the surprise the Israeli army faced in this round of fighting, it was ready to fight," noting that over the past two years the Israeli army has conducted maneuvers simulating a confrontation over several Fronts, including the land sweep, and he also included in his plans the adoption of advanced technological technologies.

"The Israeli army will draw lessons and lessons in its endeavor to establish an updated methodological idea, and the issue of the need to use ground forces to fight deep within Hamas and its center of power within Gaza City," Hacohen said.

Direct response

Parallel to this, the fundamental question remains: How long can Israel continue to maintain its security in light of the constant threat to the Gaza Strip under Hamas rule?

The military analyst for the website of the newspaper "Yediot Aharonot" Ron Ben Yishai asserts that "any new government formed in Israel must adhere to 3 principles: preventing the intensification and restoration of military capabilities in Gaza, a proportional military response to any violation of sovereignty, and enabling the reconstruction of Gaza in stages." And in a gradual manner, after an exchange of Israeli soldiers and missing persons. "

If Hamas does not agree and does not convince the other factions to agree to the calm, the military analyst says that "the Gaza Strip will remain under siege, and from the first day of the ceasefire onwards, Israel will work in Gaza according to the theory of a" battle between the two wars "; meaning a direct response to any violation or Attack and not allowing Hamas and the organizations to rearm and restore missile capability, and they are working immediately to thwart any attempt to rehabilitate and develop weapons. "

Hollow threats

In a reading of the positions and estimates in the Israeli arena, the researcher on Israeli affairs, Bilal Daher, believes that there is a consensus among military analysts that the recent aggression on Gaza ended in the same place in which it started, meaning that it did not achieve any substantial achievements except for the destruction and devastation in Gaza and the killing of civilians, describing Threats to launch a new aggression against Gaza, "hollow and empty."

Contrary to the political level, the Israeli army - according to leaks to the newspaper "Haaretz" - confirmed that the missile launching system in Gaza had not been eliminated as planned during the fighting, and accordingly Daher said, "The result is not satisfactory in this regard to the Israelis," pointing out that the Gaza front - Which is witnessing a cautious calm - may record some breaches of the ceasefire, but it is not the point of escalation and comprehensive confrontation.

Netanyahu with the army chief of staff at the headquarters of the Ministry of Defense, parallel to the entry into force of the ceasefire (Al-Jazeera)

Netanyahu's goal

Researcher Bilal Daher indicated - in his interview with Al-Jazeera Net - that the Israeli army chief of staff is well aware that without a ground invasion, Hamas and the factions will continue to rule Gaza, saying, "The Israeli army can invade Gaza, but this will cause Israel human losses and will pay a heavy price, and this is not." It can be borne by any Israeli government. "

Regarding the Israeli voices that were loud with the entry into force of the ceasefire, and it was suggested that the escalation is only a matter of time, Daher downplayed the importance of these estimates, and ruled out the possibility that Israel would prepare for a new war on Gaza next summer, due to the exacerbation of the political deadlock that afflicts Israel and the crisis of forming the government Continuing, pointing out that any new military campaign on Gaza needs a strong, stable and strong Israeli government and a bank of targets.

Daher added that any surprise military campaign will not restore consideration to Israel, which failed during the aggression on Gaza to achieve any significant achievements, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu created a state of tension in historic Palestine, and initiated the escalation of the situation in Jerusalem, Al-Aqsa and the Palestinian interior, in order to achieve one and only goal. By preventing the so-called "change bloc" from forming an alternative government that depends on the support of the Arab parties, stressing that Netanyahu has succeeded in achieving this goal.