The New York Times reported in a front page article on the 3rd that experts in the United States believe that there is no hope of achieving collective immunity against COVID-19.
Even though more than half of the adults in the United States have been vaccinated at least once, there is widespread consensus among scientists and public health experts that crossing the threshold for collective immunity is at least impossible to achieve in the near future, perhaps forever.
The New York Times says the latest experts conclude that the virus, which will continue to spread in the United States over the next few years, is likely to turn into a'manageable threat' rather than out of control.
What has shifted the perspective of experts towards making it difficult to achieve population immunity is due to the advent of the highly contagious mutant virus and the rejection of vaccines in some Americans.
Initially, experts, including Anthony Pouch, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), suggested 60-70% of the population as the criterion for population immunity. I uploaded it above.
However, according to recent poll results, about 30% of Americans are still reluctant to get vaccination.
In addition, because the transmission is carried out at a community level, even if the national average is high, Corona 19 can still spread in places with low inoculation rates, and there is a risk of re-spreading to other places depending on the movement of local residents.
Lauren Ansel Meyers, director of the University of Texas Corona 19 Modeling Consortium, warned, "If we don't have enough immunity overall, we will not be able to achieve collective immunity in any country, state, or city level."
The New York Times said the coronavirus could potentially turn into a seasonal illness like the flu, and predicted that a long-term goal for one or two generations would be to turn the virus into a common cold.